Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Rice Owls v UTSA Roadrunners

Kickoff: 2026-04-04 17:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

14 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

36%

64%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Rice Owls (Local)

Prediction 36.18%2.76fair odd

EV +3.11%

Edge +1.09%

Kelly +1.68%

Growth +0.052%

assuming max odds 2.85

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

33.41%36.04%36.27%37.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

2.502.602.602.8540.00%38.53%38.46%35.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

UTSA Roadrunners (Visit)

Prediction 63.82%1.57fair odd

EV -2.35%

Edge -1.54%

Kelly -4.44%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.53

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

62.03%63.96%63.73%66.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.431.471.481.5369.93%68.16%67.80%65.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Rice Owls (Local): 36.18%; UTSA Roadrunners (Visit): 63.82%. For Rice Owls (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.76. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.85, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.11%.

Sportsbook Odds (14 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Margin	Updated
Caesars🎯	2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV +3.11%E +1.09%K +1.68%G +0.052%	1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -8.74%E -6.11%K -20.32%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-04-04 16:28
DraftKings🎯	2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -4.12%E -1.56%K -2.50%G +0.000%	1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -6.18%E -4.21%K -13.16%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-04-04 16:29
BetMGM🎯	2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -5.93%E -2.28%K -3.71%G +0.000%	1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.55%E -3.75%K -11.55%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-04-04 01:29
BetOnline.ag🎯	2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -5.93%E -2.28%K -3.71%G +0.000%	1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.55%E -3.75%K -11.55%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-04-04 15:04
LowVig.ag🎯	2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -5.93%E -2.28%K -3.71%G +0.000%	1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.55%E -3.75%K -11.55%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-04-04 15:05
Bovada🎯	2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -5.93%E -2.28%K -3.71%G +0.000%	1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -6.18%E -4.21%K -13.16%G +0.000%	6.5%	2026-04-04 04:35
BetRivers🎯	2.60I 38.46%NM 35.48%EV -5.93%E -2.28%K -3.71%G +0.000%	1.43I 69.93%NM 64.52%EV -8.74%E -6.11%K -20.32%G +0.000%	8.4%	2026-04-04 16:19
Bally Bet🎯	2.60I 38.46%NM 35.48%EV -5.93%E -2.28%K -3.71%G +0.000%	1.43I 69.93%NM 64.52%EV -8.74%E -6.11%K -20.32%G +0.000%	8.4%	2026-04-04 16:19
betPARX🎯	2.60I 38.46%NM 35.48%EV -5.93%E -2.28%K -3.71%G +0.000%	1.43I 69.93%NM 64.52%EV -8.74%E -6.11%K -20.32%G +0.000%	8.4%	2026-04-04 16:19
MyBookie.ag🎯	2.59I 38.61%NM 36.05%EV -6.29%E -2.43%K -3.96%G +0.000%	1.46I 68.49%NM 63.95%EV -6.82%E -4.67%K -14.83%G +0.000%	7.1%	2026-04-04 16:49
BetUS🎯	2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -7.74%E -3.04%K -4.99%G +0.000%	1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -5.55%E -3.75%K -11.55%G +0.000%	6.8%	2026-04-04 15:05
theScore Bet🎯	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -9.55%E -3.82%K -6.37%G +0.000%	1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -2.35%E -1.54%K -4.44%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-04-04 16:19
1xBet🎯	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.34%EV -9.55%E -3.82%K -6.37%G +0.000%	1.49I 67.11%NM 62.66%EV -4.91%E -3.29%K -10.02%G +0.000%	7.1%	2026-04-04 16:34
Betway🎯	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -9.55%E -3.82%K -6.37%G +0.000%	1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -5.55%E -3.75%K -11.55%G +0.000%	7.6%	2026-04-04 07:24

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

Bookmaker	Local	Visit	Margin ▲	Updated
Novig◎	2.61I 38.31%NM 35.24%	1.42I 70.42%NM 64.76%	8.7%	2026-04-04 16:30