Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Rice Owls v UTSA Roadrunners

Kickoff: 2026-04-03 23:30 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

14 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Rice Owls (Local)

Prediction 34.76%2.88fair odd
EV +7.76%
Edge +2.50%
Kelly +3.69%
Growth +0.287%

assuming max odds 3.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.80%34.65%35.64%37.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.502.712.623.1040.00%36.88%38.24%32.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

UTSA Roadrunners (Visit)

Prediction 65.24%1.53fair odd
EV -0.183%
Edge -0.120%
Kelly -0.346%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.53

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
62.03%65.35%64.36%69.20%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.381.441.441.5372.46%69.58%69.20%65.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Rice Owls (Local): 34.76%; UTSA Roadrunners (Visit): 65.24%. For Rice Owls (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.88. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.10, corresponding to a positive expected value of +7.76%.

Sportsbook Odds (14 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Caesars🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV +7.76%E +2.50%K +3.69%G +0.287%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -9.97%E -7.22%K -26.23%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-03 23:25
LowVig.ag🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV +2.54%E +0.862%K +1.30%G +0.033%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -9.97%E -7.22%K -26.23%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-03 23:25
BetOnline.ag🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV +2.54%E +0.862%K +1.30%G +0.033%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -9.97%E -7.22%K -26.23%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-03 23:25
BetUS🎯2.87I 34.84%NM 32.47%EV -0.238%E -0.083%K -0.127%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.53%EV -9.97%E -7.22%K -26.23%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-03 23:24
DraftKings🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -4.41%E -1.60%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -6.71%E -4.69%K -15.60%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-03 23:20
Bovada🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -6.15%E -2.28%K -3.62%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -6.71%E -4.69%K -15.60%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-03 23:23
MyBookie.ag🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 35.54%EV -8.58%E -3.26%K -5.26%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.46%EV -5.40%E -3.73%K -12.01%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-03 23:24
BetMGM🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -9.62%E -3.70%K -6.01%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -3.45%E -2.33%K -7.18%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-03 15:55
BetRivers🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -9.62%E -3.70%K -6.01%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -5.40%E -3.73%K -12.01%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-03 20:25
betPARX🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -9.62%E -3.70%K -6.01%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -5.40%E -3.73%K -12.01%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-03 20:25
Bally Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -9.62%E -3.70%K -6.01%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -5.40%E -3.73%K -12.01%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-03 20:25
Betway🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -9.62%E -3.70%K -6.01%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -6.05%E -4.20%K -13.76%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-03 23:19
1xBet🎯2.51I 39.84%NM 37.25%EV -12.75%E -5.08%K -8.44%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 62.75%EV -2.79%E -1.87%K -5.70%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-03 16:25
theScore Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -13.10%E -5.24%K -8.73%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -0.183%E -0.120%K -0.346%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-03 23:24
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig2.90I 34.48%NM 32.40%1.39I 71.94%NM 67.60%6.4%2026-04-03 23:24