Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Rice Owls v UTSA Roadrunners

Kickoff: 2026-04-02 23:30 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

13 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Rice Owls (Local)

Prediction 36.63%2.73fair odd
EV -0.739%
Edge -0.273%
Kelly -0.432%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.71

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.70%36.53%36.27%38.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.452.582.602.7140.82%38.83%38.46%36.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

UTSA Roadrunners (Visit)

Prediction 63.37%1.58fair odd
EV -3.04%
Edge -1.99%
Kelly -5.74%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.53

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
61.56%63.47%63.73%65.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.431.481.481.5369.93%67.67%67.57%65.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Rice Owls (Local): 36.63%; UTSA Roadrunners (Visit): 63.37%. For Rice Owls (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.73. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.71, with an expected value of -0.739%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (13 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
LowVig.ag🎯2.71I 36.90%NM 34.70%EV -0.739%E -0.273%K -0.432%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.30%EV -8.74%E -6.07%K -19.87%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-02 19:00
BetOnline.ag🎯2.71I 36.90%NM 34.70%EV -0.739%E -0.273%K -0.432%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.30%EV -8.74%E -6.07%K -19.87%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-02 19:00
1xBet🎯2.69I 37.17%NM 34.71%EV -1.47%E -0.547%K -0.871%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.29%EV -9.38%E -6.56%K -21.81%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-02 21:55
Caesars🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -2.94%E -1.11%K -1.78%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.94%E -3.29%K -9.88%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-02 18:59
BetUS🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -2.94%E -1.11%K -1.78%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -8.74%E -6.07%K -19.87%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-02 18:59
DraftKings🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -4.77%E -1.83%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -6.21%E -4.20%K -12.94%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-02 16:55
BetMGM🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -4.77%E -1.83%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -6.21%E -4.20%K -12.94%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-02 16:54
MyBookie.ag🎯2.57I 38.91%NM 36.39%EV -5.87%E -2.28%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.61%EV -6.84%E -4.65%K -14.56%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-02 19:18
theScore Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -8.43%E -3.37%K -5.62%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.04%E -1.99%K -5.74%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-02 18:14
Bovada🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -10.26%E -4.19%K -7.08%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -3.04%E -1.99%K -5.74%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-02 19:13
BetRivers🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.82%EV -10.26%E -4.19%K -7.08%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 62.18%EV -5.58%E -3.74%K -11.38%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-02 19:10
betPARX🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.82%EV -10.26%E -4.19%K -7.08%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 62.18%EV -5.58%E -3.74%K -11.38%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-02 19:10
Bally Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.82%EV -10.26%E -4.19%K -7.08%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 62.18%EV -5.58%E -3.74%K -11.38%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-02 19:10
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig2.58I 38.76%NM 35.66%1.43I 69.93%NM 64.34%8.7%2026-04-02 23:25