Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Rice Owls v Sam Houston St Bearkats

Kickoff: 2026-04-15 23:35 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

15 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Rice Owls (Local)

Prediction 74.05%1.35fair odd
EV -1.51%
Edge -1.14%
Kelly -4.59%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.33

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
70.44%73.68%74.04%75.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.251.281.271.3380.00%77.88%78.74%75.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Sam Houston St Bearkats (Visit)

Prediction 25.95%3.85fair odd
EV -1.39%
Edge -0.366%
Kelly -0.497%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.90%26.32%25.96%29.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.173.483.463.8031.55%28.76%28.90%26.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Rice Owls (Local): 74.05%; Sam Houston St Bearkats (Visit): 25.95%. For Sam Houston St Bearkats (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.85. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.80, with an expected value of -1.39%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (15 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
BetOnline.ag🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -1.51%E -1.14%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -15.66%E -4.82%K -6.96%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-15 19:25
LowVig.ag🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -1.51%E -1.14%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -15.66%E -4.82%K -6.96%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-15 19:25
BetUS🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.44%EV -1.51%E -1.14%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.17I 31.55%NM 29.56%EV -17.74%E -5.60%K -8.17%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-15 19:25
1xBet🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 71.40%EV -2.99%E -2.29%K -9.66%G +0.000%3.27I 30.58%NM 28.60%EV -15.14%E -4.63%K -6.67%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-15 23:29
Caesars🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -4.48%E -3.47%K -15.43%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -3.99%E -1.08%K -1.48%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-15 22:09
MyBookie.ag🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.00%EV -5.22%E -4.07%K -18.63%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 27.00%EV -10.21%E -2.95%K -4.15%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-15 23:23
BetMGM🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -5.96%E -4.69%K -22.06%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -2.69%E -0.717%K -0.978%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-15 23:15
DraftKings🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -5.96%E -4.69%K -22.06%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -3.99%E -1.08%K -1.48%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-15 21:39
theScore Bet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -5.96%E -4.69%K -22.06%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -6.58%E -1.83%K -2.53%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-15 23:19
BetRivers🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 72.51%EV -5.96%E -4.69%K -22.06%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.49%EV -13.07%E -3.90%K -5.56%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-15 18:30
Bally Bet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 72.51%EV -5.96%E -4.69%K -22.06%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.49%EV -13.07%E -3.90%K -5.56%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-15 18:30
betPARX🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 72.51%EV -5.96%E -4.69%K -22.06%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.49%EV -13.07%E -3.90%K -5.56%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-15 18:30
FanDuel🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.10%EV -6.70%E -5.31%K -25.76%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -1.39%E -0.366%K -0.497%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-15 23:24
Bovada🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 74.34%EV -6.70%E -5.31%K -25.76%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.66%EV -5.28%E -1.45%K -1.99%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-15 21:38
Betway🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -7.44%E -5.95%K -29.75%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -9.18%E -2.62%K -3.67%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-15 23:19
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig1.26I 79.37%NM 75.49%3.88I 25.77%NM 24.51%5.1%2026-04-15 23:25