Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Rice Owls v Houston Cougars

Kickoff: 2026-04-21 23:30 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

15 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Rice Owls (Local)

Prediction 47.05%2.13fair odd
EV +1.17%
Edge +0.542%
Kelly +1.01%
Growth +0.012%

assuming max odds 2.15

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.01%46.87%46.95%48.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.952.022.012.1551.28%49.42%49.75%46.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Houston Cougars (Visit)

Prediction 52.95%1.89fair odd
EV -4.70%
Edge -2.61%
Kelly -5.87%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
52.00%53.13%53.05%55.99%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.681.741.751.8059.52%57.36%57.14%55.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Rice Owls (Local): 47.05%; Houston Cougars (Visit): 52.95%. For Rice Owls (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.13. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.15, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.17%.

Sportsbook Odds (15 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
BetUS🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV +1.17%E +0.542%K +1.01%G +0.012%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -10.52%E -6.23%K -15.25%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-21 19:25
betPARX🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.68%EV -2.13%E -1.02%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.32%EV -11.05%E -6.58%K -16.25%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-21 18:50
Bally Bet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.68%EV -2.13%E -1.02%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.32%EV -11.05%E -6.58%K -16.25%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-21 18:55
BetRivers🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.68%EV -2.13%E -1.02%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.32%EV -11.05%E -6.58%K -16.25%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-21 18:55
Bovada🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -3.54%E -1.73%K -3.37%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -7.87%E -4.53%K -10.64%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-21 19:01
FanDuel🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.32%EV -4.01%E -1.97%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.68%EV -6.81%E -3.87%K -8.97%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-21 22:00
1xBet🎯2.01I 49.75%NM 46.54%EV -5.42%E -2.70%K -5.37%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.46%EV -7.34%E -4.20%K -9.79%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-21 21:20
MyBookie.ag🎯2.01I 49.75%NM 46.54%EV -5.42%E -2.70%K -5.37%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.46%EV -7.34%E -4.20%K -9.79%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-21 19:04
Caesars🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -5.89%E -2.95%K -5.89%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.29%E -3.55%K -8.16%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-21 23:05
LowVig.ag🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -5.89%E -2.95%K -5.89%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.29%E -3.55%K -8.16%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-21 23:05
BetOnline.ag🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -5.89%E -2.95%K -5.89%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.29%E -3.55%K -8.16%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-21 23:05
Betway🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.09%EV -5.89%E -2.95%K -5.89%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -9.46%E -5.53%K -13.33%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-21 19:00
DraftKings🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -8.25%E -4.23%K -8.68%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -4.70%E -2.61%K -5.87%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-21 18:20
BetMGM🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -8.25%E -4.23%K -8.68%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -4.70%E -2.61%K -5.87%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-21 18:54
theScore Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -8.25%E -4.23%K -8.68%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -4.70%E -2.61%K -5.87%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-21 22:35
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig2.03I 49.26%NM 46.86%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.14%5.1%2026-04-21 23:25