Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Queens University Royals v Jacksonville Dolphins

Kickoff: 2026-03-20 22:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

4 sportsbooks (2 in analysis )

23%

77%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Queens University Royals (Local)

Prediction 23.15%4.32fair odd

EV -5.08%

Edge -1.24%

Kelly -1.64%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

23.08%23.15%23.15%28.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

3.253.673.674.1030.77%27.21%27.21%24.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Jacksonville Dolphins (Visit)

Prediction 76.85%1.30fair odd

EV +0.673%

Edge +0.513%

Kelly +2.17%

Growth +0.015%

assuming max odds 1.31

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

71.27%76.85%76.85%76.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.211.261.271.3182.64%79.21%79.05%76.34%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Queens University Royals (Local): 23.15%; Jacksonville Dolphins (Visit): 76.85%. For Jacksonville Dolphins (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.30. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.31, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.673%.

Sportsbook Odds (4 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local	Visit ▼	Margin	Updated
1xBet🎯	3.25I 30.77%NM 28.73%EV -24.76%E -7.62%K -11.00%G +0.000%	1.31I 76.34%NM 71.27%EV +0.673%E +0.513%K +2.17%G +0.015%	7.1%	2026-03-20 21:55
Bovada🎯	3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -22.45%E -6.70%K -9.55%G +0.000%	1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -0.096%E -0.074%K -0.320%G +0.000%	6.8%	2026-03-20 21:50
FanDuel🎯	4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -5.08%E -1.24%K -1.64%G +0.000%	1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -5.48%E -4.45%K -23.81%G +0.000%	5.7%	2026-03-20 21:54
theScore Bet🎯	4.00I 25.00%NM 23.22%EV -7.40%E -1.85%K -2.47%G +0.000%	1.21I 82.64%NM 76.78%EV -7.01%E -5.80%K -33.39%G +0.000%	7.6%	2026-03-20 21:55

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.