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Purdue Boilermakers v Penn State Nittany Lions
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Purdue Boilermakers (Local)
assuming max odds 1.22
Penn State Nittany Lions (Visit)
assuming max odds 5.20
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Purdue Boilermakers (Local): 79.42%; Penn State Nittany Lions (Visit): 20.58%. For Penn State Nittany Lions (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.86. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.20, corresponding to a positive expected value of +7.00%.
Sportsbook Odds (16 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.89%EV -8.66%E -7.53%K -57.76%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.11%EV +7.00%E +1.35%K +1.67%G +0.117% | 6.2% | 2026-03-21 16:55 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -7.87%E -6.78%K -49.19%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV +2.89%E +0.578%K +0.722%G +0.021% | 6.2% | 2026-03-21 15:13 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 80.63%EV -7.87%E -6.78%K -49.19%G +0.000% | 4.83I 20.70%NM 19.37%EV -0.609%E -0.126%K -0.159%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-21 17:54 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 80.54%EV -7.87%E -6.78%K -49.19%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.46%EV -1.23%E -0.256%K -0.323%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-21 17:23 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.67%EV -8.66%E -7.53%K -57.76%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.33%EV -1.23%E -0.256%K -0.323%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-21 17:24 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 79.82%EV -8.66%E -7.53%K -57.76%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.18%EV -6.37%E -1.40%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-21 15:54 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -7.08%E -6.05%K -41.62%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -7.40%E -1.64%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-21 16:20 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.80%EV -4.69%E -3.91%K -23.47%G +0.000% | 4.46I 22.42%NM 21.20%EV -8.22%E -1.84%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-21 15:04 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.80%EV -4.69%E -3.91%K -23.47%G +0.000% | 4.46I 22.42%NM 21.20%EV -8.22%E -1.84%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-21 15:04 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -3.10%E -2.54%K -14.11%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -9.46%E -2.15%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-21 15:02 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -4.69%E -3.91%K -23.47%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -9.46%E -2.15%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-21 15:04 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 78.71%EV -5.49%E -4.61%K -28.88%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.29%EV -9.46%E -2.15%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-21 17:42 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -6.28%E -5.32%K -34.90%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -9.46%E -2.15%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-21 15:59 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -6.28%E -5.32%K -34.90%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -9.46%E -2.15%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-21 16:00 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -6.28%E -5.32%K -34.90%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -9.46%E -2.15%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-21 15:59 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.18%EV -4.69%E -3.91%K -23.47%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -11.52%E -2.68%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-21 15:04 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (1)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig◎ | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96% | 5.5% | 2026-03-21 16:54 |