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Purdue Boilermakers v Penn State Nittany Lions
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Purdue Boilermakers (Local)
assuming max odds 1.20
Penn State Nittany Lions (Visit)
assuming max odds 4.80
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Purdue Boilermakers (Local): 79.71%; Penn State Nittany Lions (Visit): 20.29%. For Penn State Nittany Lions (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.93. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 4.80, with an expected value of -2.60%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (13 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caesars🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -4.35%E -3.62%K -21.75%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -3.62%E -0.761%K -0.964%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-22 12:05 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -5.15%E -4.33%K -27.09%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -6.66%E -1.45%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-22 15:05 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.97%EV -5.94%E -5.04%K -33.02%G +0.000% | 4.71I 21.23%NM 20.03%EV -4.43%E -0.940%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-22 12:29 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.97%EV -5.94%E -5.04%K -33.02%G +0.000% | 4.71I 21.23%NM 20.03%EV -4.43%E -0.940%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-22 12:29 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.93%EV -5.94%E -5.04%K -33.02%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.07%EV -4.63%E -0.985%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-22 14:59 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.37%EV -5.94%E -5.04%K -33.02%G +0.000% | 4.54I 22.03%NM 20.63%EV -7.88%E -1.73%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-22 16:50 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -5.94%E -5.04%K -33.02%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -8.69%E -1.93%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-22 15:09 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -5.94%E -5.04%K -33.02%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -8.69%E -1.93%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-22 12:54 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.07%EV -6.74%E -5.76%K -39.65%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.93%EV -4.63%E -0.985%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-22 16:45 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.72%EV -6.74%E -5.76%K -39.65%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV -6.66%E -1.45%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-22 15:05 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -6.74%E -5.76%K -39.65%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -8.69%E -1.93%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-22 15:09 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.67%EV -8.34%E -7.25%K -55.57%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.33%EV -2.60%E -0.542%K -0.684%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-22 15:09 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 79.46%EV -8.34%E -7.25%K -55.57%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.54%EV -9.70%E -2.18%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-22 15:15 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (1)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig◎ | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.69% | 4.93I 20.28%NM 19.31% | 5.0% | 2026-03-22 16:49 |