The School of College Oddsodds.college
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Purdue Boilermakers v Penn State Nittany Lions

Kickoff: 2026-03-20 20:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

16 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Purdue Boilermakers (Local)

Prediction 72.51%1.38fair odd
EV -5.02%
Edge -3.83%
Kelly -16.18%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.31

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
71.40%72.44%72.48%73.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.271.301.301.3178.74%77.11%76.92%76.34%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Penn State Nittany Lions (Visit)

Prediction 27.49%3.64fair odd
EV -3.78%
Edge -1.08%
Kelly -1.51%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.78%27.56%27.52%28.60%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.253.373.363.5030.77%29.63%29.76%28.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Purdue Boilermakers (Local): 72.51%; Penn State Nittany Lions (Visit): 27.49%. For Penn State Nittany Lions (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.64. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.50, with an expected value of -3.78%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (16 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Caesars🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -5.02%E -3.83%K -16.18%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -3.78%E -1.08%K -1.51%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-20 19:10
BetMGM🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -5.02%E -3.83%K -16.18%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -6.52%E -1.92%K -2.72%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-20 09:30
BetOnline.ag🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 72.01%EV -5.02%E -3.83%K -16.18%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 27.99%EV -7.35%E -2.18%K -3.10%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-20 19:10
LowVig.ag🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 72.01%EV -5.02%E -3.83%K -16.18%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 27.99%EV -7.35%E -2.18%K -3.10%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-20 19:09
1xBet🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 71.40%EV -5.02%E -3.83%K -16.18%G +0.000%3.27I 30.58%NM 28.60%EV -10.10%E -3.09%K -4.45%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-20 19:15
MyBookie.ag🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.98%EV -5.74%E -4.42%K -19.13%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 28.02%EV -8.17%E -2.45%K -3.49%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-20 19:29
BetRivers🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -5.74%E -4.42%K -19.13%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -9.27%E -2.81%K -4.03%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-20 19:10
betPARX🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -5.74%E -4.42%K -19.13%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -9.27%E -2.81%K -4.03%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-20 19:10
Bally Bet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -5.74%E -4.42%K -19.13%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -9.27%E -2.81%K -4.03%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-20 19:10
DraftKings🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -6.47%E -5.01%K -22.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -3.78%E -1.08%K -1.51%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-20 19:10
theScore Bet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -6.47%E -5.01%K -22.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -3.78%E -1.08%K -1.51%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-20 19:10
FanDuel🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -6.47%E -5.01%K -22.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -3.78%E -1.08%K -1.51%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-20 19:10
BetUS🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 72.20%EV -6.47%E -5.01%K -22.29%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.80%EV -7.90%E -2.36%K -3.36%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-20 19:10
Betway🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -6.47%E -5.01%K -22.29%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -10.65%E -3.28%K -4.73%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-20 17:20
Bovada🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -7.19%E -5.62%K -25.68%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -3.78%E -1.08%K -1.51%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-20 19:24
Fliff🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 71.90%EV -7.92%E -6.23%K -29.32%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.10%EV -10.65%E -3.28%K -4.73%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-20 09:35
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig◎1.29I 77.52%NM 73.67%3.61I 27.70%NM 26.33%5.2%2026-03-20 19:09