Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Purdue Boilermakers v Oregon Ducks

Kickoff: 2026-03-07 19:05 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

15 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Purdue Boilermakers (Local)

Prediction 28.02%3.57fair odd
EV -1.93%
Edge -0.551%
Kelly -0.771%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.93%28.04%27.81%30.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.093.313.353.5032.36%30.22%29.85%28.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Oregon Ducks (Visit)

Prediction 71.98%1.39fair odd
EV -3.55%
Edge -2.65%
Kelly -10.43%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.34

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
69.75%71.96%72.19%73.07%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.281.301.301.3478.13%76.65%76.92%74.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Purdue Boilermakers (Local): 28.02%; Oregon Ducks (Visit): 71.98%. For Purdue Boilermakers (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.57. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.50, with an expected value of -1.93%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (15 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
FanDuel🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -1.93%E -0.551%K -0.771%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -7.15%E -5.54%K -24.64%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-07 15:24
BetMGM🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -4.73%E -1.39%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -5.71%E -4.36%K -18.41%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-07 03:30
theScore Bet🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -4.73%E -1.39%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -6.43%E -4.94%K -21.42%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-07 19:00
Hard Rock Bet🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -4.73%E -1.39%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -7.15%E -5.54%K -24.64%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-07 14:44
Bovada🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -6.13%E -1.83%K -2.61%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -6.43%E -4.94%K -21.42%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-07 14:41
BetRivers🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 27.65%EV -6.13%E -1.83%K -2.61%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 72.35%EV -7.87%E -6.15%K -28.10%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-07 14:44
betPARX🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 27.65%EV -6.13%E -1.83%K -2.61%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 72.35%EV -7.87%E -6.15%K -28.10%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-07 14:44
Bally Bet🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 27.65%EV -6.13%E -1.83%K -2.61%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 72.35%EV -7.87%E -6.15%K -28.10%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-07 14:45
DraftKings🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -7.53%E -2.28%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -4.99%E -3.78%K -15.59%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-07 03:30
1xBet🎯3.27I 30.58%NM 28.60%EV -8.37%E -2.56%K -3.69%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 71.40%EV -5.71%E -4.36%K -18.41%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-07 16:10
Betway🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -8.93%E -2.75%K -3.97%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -7.15%E -5.54%K -24.64%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-07 14:44
LowVig.ag🎯3.22I 31.06%NM 29.23%EV -9.77%E -3.04%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.77%EV -4.27%E -3.21%K -12.93%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-07 15:35
BetOnline.ag🎯3.22I 31.06%NM 29.23%EV -9.77%E -3.04%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.77%EV -4.27%E -3.21%K -12.93%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-07 15:39
MyBookie.ag🎯3.18I 31.45%NM 29.33%EV -10.89%E -3.43%K -5.00%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 70.67%EV -4.99%E -3.78%K -15.59%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-07 15:44
BetUS🎯3.09I 32.36%NM 30.25%EV -13.42%E -4.34%K -6.42%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 69.75%EV -3.55%E -2.65%K -10.43%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-07 15:53
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig3.51I 28.49%NM 27.18%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.82%4.8%2026-03-07 18:54