Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Purdue Boilermakers v Ohio State Buckeyes

Kickoff: 2026-04-19 17:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

14 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Purdue Boilermakers (Local)

Prediction 67.77%1.48fair odd
EV -3.77%
Edge -2.66%
Kelly -8.98%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.42

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
66.67%67.96%67.51%69.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.361.381.381.4273.53%72.24%72.46%70.42%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Ohio State Buckeyes (Visit)

Prediction 32.23%3.10fair odd
EV -0.073%
Edge -0.023%
Kelly -0.035%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.49%32.04%32.49%33.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.802.902.893.1035.71%34.44%34.60%32.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Purdue Boilermakers (Local): 67.77%; Ohio State Buckeyes (Visit): 32.23%. For Ohio State Buckeyes (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.102. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.100, with an expected value of -0.073%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (14 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Caesars🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -3.77%E -2.66%K -8.98%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -4.91%E -1.66%K -2.52%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-19 12:55
DraftKings🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.13%E -3.66%K -12.82%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.52%E -2.25%K -3.43%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-18 22:44
LowVig.ag🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.37%EV -5.13%E -3.66%K -12.82%G +0.000%2.89I 34.60%NM 32.63%EV -6.84%E -2.37%K -3.62%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-19 12:55
BetOnline.ag🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.37%EV -5.13%E -3.66%K -12.82%G +0.000%2.89I 34.60%NM 32.63%EV -6.84%E -2.37%K -3.62%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-19 12:55
BetUS🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -5.13%E -3.66%K -12.82%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -9.74%E -3.48%K -5.41%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-19 13:35
1xBet🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 67.45%EV -5.81%E -4.18%K -14.89%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.55%EV -7.16%E -2.49%K -3.81%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-19 16:15
Bovada🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -6.48%E -4.70%K -17.06%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -6.52%E -2.25%K -3.43%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-19 00:04
BetRivers🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.38%EV -6.48%E -4.70%K -17.06%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%EV -8.13%E -2.85%K -4.40%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-19 14:35
Bally Bet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.38%EV -6.48%E -4.70%K -17.06%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%EV -8.13%E -2.85%K -4.40%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-19 14:35
betPARX🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.38%EV -6.48%E -4.70%K -17.06%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%EV -8.13%E -2.85%K -4.40%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-19 14:35
MyBookie.ag🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 68.21%EV -7.16%E -5.23%K -19.36%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 31.79%EV -5.23%E -1.78%K -2.70%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-19 12:58
FanDuel🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -7.84%E -5.76%K -21.78%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -0.073%E -0.023%K -0.035%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-19 12:59
BetMGM🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.84%E -5.76%K -21.78%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -3.30%E -1.10%K -1.65%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-19 12:55
Betway🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.70%EV -7.84%E -5.76%K -21.78%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.30%EV -8.13%E -2.85%K -4.40%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-19 14:40
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig1.38I 72.46%NM 68.99%3.07I 32.57%NM 31.01%5.0%2026-04-19 16:30