The School of College Oddsodds.college
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Purdue Boilermakers v Michigan St Spartans

Kickoff: 2026-05-19 14:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

12 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Purdue Boilermakers (Local)

Prediction 57.69%1.73fair odd
EV -3.66%
Edge -2.19%
Kelly -5.46%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.67

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
55.70%57.58%57.89%58.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.601.631.621.6762.50%61.19%61.73%59.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Michigan St Spartans (Visit)

Prediction 42.31%2.36fair odd
EV -3.53%
Edge -1.55%
Kelly -2.76%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.28

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
41.39%42.42%42.11%44.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.102.212.222.2847.62%45.35%45.05%43.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Purdue Boilermakers (Local): 57.69%; Michigan St Spartans (Visit): 42.31%. For Michigan St Spartans (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.36. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.28, with an expected value of -3.53%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (12 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
BetMGM🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.66%E -2.19%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.92%E -3.14%K -5.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-19 04:49
betPARX🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -3.66%E -2.19%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -11.15%E -5.31%K -10.14%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-19 13:40
1xBet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.65%EV -4.23%E -2.55%K -6.42%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 42.35%EV -4.38%E -1.94%K -3.48%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-19 13:40
BetRivers🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.08%EV -4.23%E -2.55%K -6.42%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.92%EV -10.30%E -4.86%K -9.20%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-19 13:50
Bally Bet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.08%EV -4.23%E -2.55%K -6.42%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.92%EV -10.30%E -4.86%K -9.20%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-19 13:50
theScore Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.54%E -4.04%K -10.55%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -4.80%E -2.13%K -3.84%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-19 09:30
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.54%E -4.04%K -10.55%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -4.80%E -2.13%K -3.84%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-19 11:49
DraftKings🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.03%EV -6.54%E -4.04%K -10.55%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 41.97%EV -5.23%E -2.33%K -4.21%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-19 00:09
FanDuel🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.61%EV -7.12%E -4.42%K -11.67%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.39%EV -3.53%E -1.55%K -2.76%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-19 13:30
Bovada🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -7.12%E -4.42%K -11.67%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -4.80%E -2.13%K -3.84%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-19 05:19
Betway🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -7.12%E -4.42%K -11.67%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -6.92%E -3.14%K -5.77%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-19 04:50
MyBookie.ag🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.78%EV -7.70%E -4.81%K -12.83%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 42.22%EV -7.34%E -3.35%K -6.17%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-19 11:09
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.