The School of College Oddsodds.college
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Purdue Boilermakers v Indiana St Sycamores

Kickoff: 2026-04-21 22:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

10 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Purdue Boilermakers (Local)

Prediction 66.50%1.50fair odd
EV -3.58%
Edge -2.47%
Kelly -7.96%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.45

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
65.06%66.75%66.35%69.20%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.381.411.411.4572.46%70.82%70.92%68.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Indiana St Sycamores (Visit)

Prediction 33.50%2.98fair odd
EV +3.86%
Edge +1.25%
Kelly +1.84%
Growth +0.071%

assuming max odds 3.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.80%33.25%33.65%34.94%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.702.792.743.1037.04%35.87%36.50%32.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Purdue Boilermakers (Local): 66.50%; Indiana St Sycamores (Visit): 33.50%. For Indiana St Sycamores (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.98. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.10, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.86%.

Sportsbook Odds (10 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Caesars🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -8.24%E -5.97%K -21.67%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV +3.86%E +1.25%K +1.84%G +0.071%4.7%2026-04-21 17:29
BetMGM🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.91%E -4.93%K -17.27%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -2.84%E -0.978%K -1.49%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-21 01:30
DraftKings🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -5.58%E -3.93%K -13.28%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -6.19%E -2.21%K -3.44%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-20 23:15
Bovada🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 66.51%EV -6.24%E -4.43%K -15.22%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.49%EV -6.19%E -2.21%K -3.44%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-21 00:23
MyBookie.ag🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 66.19%EV -6.24%E -4.43%K -15.22%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 33.81%EV -7.53%E -2.73%K -4.28%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-21 16:10
1xBet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.70%EV -5.58%E -3.93%K -13.28%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 34.30%EV -8.87%E -3.26%K -5.16%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-21 16:25
theScore Bet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -3.58%E -2.47%K -7.96%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -9.54%E -3.53%K -5.61%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-21 17:15
BetRivers🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 65.69%EV -6.24%E -4.43%K -15.22%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.31%EV -9.54%E -3.53%K -5.61%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-21 16:05
Bally Bet🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 65.69%EV -6.24%E -4.43%K -15.22%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.31%EV -9.54%E -3.53%K -5.61%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-21 16:05
betPARX🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 65.69%EV -6.24%E -4.43%K -15.22%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.31%EV -9.54%E -3.53%K -5.61%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-21 16:05
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig◎1.41I 70.92%NM 66.35%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.65%6.9%2026-04-21 21:35