Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Portland Pilots v UConn Huskies

Kickoff: 2026-03-14 20:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

8 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

42%

58%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Portland Pilots (Local)

Prediction 42.06%2.38fair odd

EV +1.78%

Edge +0.737%

Kelly +1.26%

Growth +0.022%

assuming max odds 2.42

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

38.89%41.73%42.06%43.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

2.122.222.212.4247.17%45.10%45.35%41.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

UConn Huskies (Visit)

Prediction 57.94%1.73fair odd

EV -3.82%

Edge -2.30%

Kelly -5.78%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.66

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

56.08%58.27%57.94%61.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.541.621.621.6664.94%61.73%61.73%60.24%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Portland Pilots (Local): 42.06%; UConn Huskies (Visit): 57.94%. For Portland Pilots (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.38. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.42, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.78%.

Sportsbook Odds (8 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Margin	Updated
FanDuel🎯	2.42I 41.32%NM 38.89%EV +1.78%E +0.737%K +1.26%G +0.022%	1.54I 64.94%NM 61.11%EV -10.77%E -6.99%K -19.95%G +0.000%	6.3%	2026-03-14 14:50
Bovada🎯	2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -3.26%E -1.42%K -2.51%G +0.000%	1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -7.87%E -4.95%K -13.35%G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-03-14 15:04
theScore Bet🎯	2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.37%E -2.39%K -4.29%G +0.000%	1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.14%E -3.79%K -9.90%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-03-14 15:00
1xBet🎯	2.21I 45.25%NM 42.30%EV -7.05%E -3.19%K -5.83%G +0.000%	1.62I 61.73%NM 57.70%EV -6.14%E -3.79%K -9.90%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-03-14 15:45
Betway🎯	2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -7.47%E -3.40%K -6.23%G +0.000%	1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -6.71%E -4.17%K -11.01%G +0.000%	7.6%	2026-03-14 14:59
BetRivers🎯	2.12I 47.17%NM 43.92%EV -10.84%E -5.11%K -9.67%G +0.000%	1.66I 60.24%NM 56.08%EV -3.82%E -2.30%K -5.78%G +0.000%	7.4%	2026-03-14 14:55
betPARX🎯	2.12I 47.17%NM 43.92%EV -10.84%E -5.11%K -9.67%G +0.000%	1.66I 60.24%NM 56.08%EV -3.82%E -2.30%K -5.78%G +0.000%	7.4%	2026-03-14 14:55
Bally Bet🎯	2.12I 47.17%NM 43.92%EV -10.84%E -5.11%K -9.67%G +0.000%	1.66I 60.24%NM 56.08%EV -3.82%E -2.30%K -5.78%G +0.000%	7.4%	2026-03-14 14:50

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

Bookmaker	Local	Visit	Margin ▲	Updated
Novig◎	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%	1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%	6.7%	2026-03-14 19:34