The School of College Oddsodds.college
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Portland Pilots v San Diego Toreros

Kickoff: 2026-05-01 01:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

12 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Portland Pilots (Local)

Prediction 68.52%1.46fair odd
EV -4.07%
Edge -2.90%
Kelly -10.16%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
67.44%68.60%68.49%70.16%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.321.361.361.4075.76%73.62%73.53%71.43%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

San Diego Toreros (Visit)

Prediction 31.48%3.18fair odd
EV -0.852%
Edge -0.271%
Kelly -0.396%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.15

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.84%31.40%31.51%32.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.852.983.003.1535.09%33.55%33.33%31.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Portland Pilots (Local): 68.52%; San Diego Toreros (Visit): 31.48%. For San Diego Toreros (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.18. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.15, with an expected value of -0.852%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (12 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Caesars🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.07%E -2.90%K -10.16%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -5.57%E -1.86%K -2.79%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-01 00:04
DraftKings🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.07%E -2.90%K -10.16%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -8.72%E -3.01%K -4.59%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-01 00:05
theScore Bet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.44%E -3.94%K -14.31%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.57%E -1.86%K -2.79%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-01 00:04
Bovada🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -5.44%E -3.94%K -14.31%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -8.72%E -3.01%K -4.59%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-01 00:05
BetMGM🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.81%E -5.00%K -18.91%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -5.57%E -1.86%K -2.79%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-01 00:04
MyBookie.ag🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.74%EV -6.81%E -5.00%K -18.91%G +0.000%2.99I 33.44%NM 31.26%EV -5.89%E -1.97%K -2.96%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-01 00:04
1xBet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.66%EV -6.81%E -5.00%K -18.91%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.34%EV -6.20%E -2.08%K -3.13%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-01 00:04
Betway🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.70%EV -6.81%E -5.00%K -18.91%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.30%EV -10.29%E -3.61%K -5.56%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-01 00:04
FanDuel🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.16%EV -8.18%E -6.10%K -24.05%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.84%EV -0.852%E -0.271%K -0.396%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-01 00:04
BetRivers🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 69.44%EV -9.55%E -7.23%K -29.84%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -5.57%E -1.86%K -2.79%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-01 00:05
betPARX🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 69.44%EV -9.55%E -7.23%K -29.84%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -5.57%E -1.86%K -2.79%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-01 00:05
Bally Bet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 69.44%EV -9.55%E -7.23%K -29.84%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -5.57%E -1.86%K -2.79%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-01 00:04
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig◎1.43I 69.93%NM 68.50%3.11I 32.15%NM 31.50%2.1%2026-05-01 00:49