Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Portland Pilots v Oregon Ducks

Kickoff: 2026-04-09 00:05 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

19 sportsbooks (9 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Portland Pilots (Local)

Prediction 28.36%3.53fair odd
EV -0.733%
Edge -0.209%
Kelly -0.293%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.93%28.39%28.12%30.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.063.283.253.5032.68%30.52%30.77%28.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Oregon Ducks (Visit)

Prediction 71.64%1.40fair odd
EV -4.01%
Edge -2.99%
Kelly -11.78%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.34

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
69.55%71.61%71.88%73.07%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.291.311.311.3477.52%76.09%76.34%74.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Portland Pilots (Local): 28.36%; Oregon Ducks (Visit): 71.64%. For Portland Pilots (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.53. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.50, with an expected value of -0.733%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (19 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
theScore Bet🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -0.733%E -0.209%K -0.293%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -7.59%E -5.88%K -26.16%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-09 00:00
Caesars🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -3.57%E -1.05%K -1.49%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.72%E -3.55%K -14.31%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-08 23:59
BetMGM🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -3.57%E -1.05%K -1.49%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -6.15%E -4.70%K -19.85%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-08 23:59
FanDuel🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -3.57%E -1.05%K -1.49%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -6.87%E -5.29%K -22.90%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-09 00:00
Hard Rock Bet🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -3.57%E -1.05%K -1.49%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -7.59%E -5.88%K -26.16%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-09 00:00
BetRivers🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -6.41%E -1.94%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 71.90%EV -7.59%E -5.88%K -26.16%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-08 23:59
Bally Bet🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -6.41%E -1.94%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 71.90%EV -7.59%E -5.88%K -26.16%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-08 23:59
betPARX🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -6.41%E -1.94%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 71.90%EV -7.59%E -5.88%K -26.16%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-09 00:00
1xBet🎯3.27I 30.58%NM 28.60%EV -7.26%E -2.22%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 71.40%EV -6.15%E -4.70%K -19.85%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-08 23:59
Bovada🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -7.82%E -2.41%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.12%EV -5.44%E -4.12%K -16.99%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-08 23:58
Betway🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -7.82%E -2.41%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -7.59%E -5.88%K -26.16%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-09 00:00
MyBookie.ag🎯3.24I 30.86%NM 28.79%EV -8.11%E -2.50%K -3.62%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 71.21%EV -6.15%E -4.70%K -19.85%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-09 00:00
DraftKings🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -9.24%E -2.89%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -4.01%E -2.99%K -11.78%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-08 23:59
888sport🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -9.24%E -2.89%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -4.72%E -3.55%K -14.31%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-08 23:59
888sport (SE)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -9.24%E -2.89%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -4.72%E -3.55%K -14.31%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-08 23:59
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -9.24%E -2.89%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -4.72%E -3.55%K -14.31%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-08 23:59
LowVig.ag🎯3.19I 31.35%NM 29.58%EV -9.53%E -2.99%K -4.35%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.42%EV -4.01%E -2.99%K -11.78%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-08 23:59
BetOnline.ag🎯3.19I 31.35%NM 29.58%EV -9.53%E -2.99%K -4.35%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.42%EV -4.01%E -2.99%K -11.78%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-08 23:59
BetUS🎯3.06I 32.68%NM 30.45%EV -13.21%E -4.32%K -6.41%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 69.55%EV -4.01%E -2.99%K -11.78%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-09 00:00
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.