Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Pittsburgh Panthers v UNC Greensboro Spartans

Kickoff: 2026-02-27 20:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

10 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Pittsburgh Panthers (Local)

Prediction 71.57%1.40fair odd
EV -4.10%
Edge -3.06%
Kelly -12.05%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.34

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
70.48%71.52%71.65%72.34%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.291.311.311.3477.52%76.10%76.34%74.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

UNC Greensboro Spartans (Visit)

Prediction 28.43%3.52fair odd
EV -3.34%
Edge -0.981%
Kelly -1.39%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.66%28.48%28.35%29.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.083.263.203.4032.47%30.69%31.25%29.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Pittsburgh Panthers (Local): 71.57%; UNC Greensboro Spartans (Visit): 28.43%. For UNC Greensboro Spartans (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.52. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.40, with an expected value of -3.34%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (10 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
DraftKings🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -4.10%E -3.06%K -12.05%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -9.02%E -2.82%K -4.10%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-26 19:20
888sport🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -4.81%E -3.62%K -14.58%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -9.02%E -2.82%K -4.10%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-27 18:49
888sport (SE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -4.81%E -3.62%K -14.58%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -9.02%E -2.82%K -4.10%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-27 18:49
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -4.81%E -3.62%K -14.58%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -9.02%E -2.82%K -4.10%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-27 18:49
BetMGM🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -6.24%E -4.77%K -20.14%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -3.34%E -0.981%K -1.39%G +0.000%5.7%2026-02-27 15:39
Bovada🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -6.24%E -4.77%K -20.14%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -6.18%E -1.87%K -2.69%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-27 13:26
theScore Bet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -6.96%E -5.35%K -23.20%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -3.34%E -0.981%K -1.39%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-27 15:39
FanDuel🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -6.96%E -5.35%K -23.20%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -3.34%E -0.981%K -1.39%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-27 19:19
Betway🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -6.96%E -5.35%K -23.20%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -9.02%E -2.82%K -4.10%G +0.000%8.2%2026-02-27 11:35
1xBet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 70.48%EV -7.68%E -5.95%K -26.47%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 29.52%EV -12.43%E -4.04%K -5.98%G +0.000%10.0%2026-02-27 15:54
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.