The School of College Oddsodds.college
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Pittsburgh Panthers v Notre Dame Fighting Irish

Kickoff: 2026-05-14 22:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

16 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Pittsburgh Panthers (Local)

Prediction 43.88%2.28fair odd
EV -1.71%
Edge -0.764%
Kelly -1.38%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.24

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
41.97%43.76%43.86%44.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.062.142.152.2448.54%46.65%46.51%44.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Notre Dame Fighting Irish (Visit)

Prediction 56.12%1.78fair odd
EV -2.91%
Edge -1.68%
Kelly -3.99%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.73

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
55.08%56.24%56.14%58.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.621.671.671.7361.73%59.77%59.88%57.80%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Pittsburgh Panthers (Local): 43.88%; Notre Dame Fighting Irish (Visit): 56.12%. For Pittsburgh Panthers (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.28. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.24, with an expected value of -1.71%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (16 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
DraftKings🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 41.97%EV -1.71%E -0.764%K -1.38%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.03%EV -9.08%E -5.61%K -14.65%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-14 17:20
Caesars🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.47%E -1.58%K -2.89%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.28%E -3.76%K -9.37%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-14 20:35
BetUS🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.47%E -1.58%K -2.89%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.28%E -3.76%K -9.37%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-14 20:40
Bovada🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -3.47%E -1.58%K -2.89%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -9.08%E -5.61%K -14.65%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-14 17:20
BetOnline.ag🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 43.49%EV -4.78%E -2.20%K -4.09%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.51%EV -6.28%E -3.76%K -9.37%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-14 20:35
LowVig.ag🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 43.49%EV -4.78%E -2.20%K -4.09%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.51%EV -6.28%E -3.76%K -9.37%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-14 20:35
theScore Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -5.66%E -2.63%K -4.92%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.15%E -3.05%K -7.47%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-14 17:40
BetMGM🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.66%E -2.63%K -4.92%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.28%E -3.76%K -9.37%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-14 19:20
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.66%E -2.63%K -4.92%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.28%E -3.76%K -9.37%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-14 17:40
MyBookie.ag🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 43.98%EV -6.10%E -2.85%K -5.35%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.02%EV -5.72%E -3.40%K -8.41%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-14 17:49
1xBet🎯2.13I 46.95%NM 44.82%EV -6.54%E -3.07%K -5.79%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.18%EV -2.91%E -1.68%K -3.99%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-14 20:45
FanDuel🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -6.98%E -3.29%K -6.23%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -4.59%E -2.70%K -6.56%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-14 17:50
Betway🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.85%E -3.74%K -7.14%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.28%E -3.76%K -9.37%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-14 17:55
BetRivers🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 44.92%EV -9.61%E -4.67%K -9.07%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.08%EV -5.72%E -3.40%K -8.41%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-14 17:40
Bally Bet🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 44.92%EV -9.61%E -4.67%K -9.07%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.08%EV -5.72%E -3.40%K -8.41%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-14 17:40
betPARX🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 44.92%EV -9.61%E -4.67%K -9.07%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.08%EV -5.72%E -3.40%K -8.41%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-14 17:40
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.