Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Pittsburgh Panthers v North Carolina Tar Heels

Kickoff: 2026-05-23 19:05 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

17 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

28%

72%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Pittsburgh Panthers (Local)

Prediction 27.52%3.63fair odd

EV -0.365%

Edge -0.101%

Kelly -0.139%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.62

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

26.42%27.53%27.65%28.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

3.293.423.403.6230.40%29.23%29.41%27.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

North Carolina Tar Heels (Visit)

Prediction 72.48%1.38fair odd

EV -3.61%

Edge -2.71%

Kelly -10.93%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.33

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

71.52%72.47%72.35%73.58%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.281.301.291.3378.13%77.20%77.52%75.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Pittsburgh Panthers (Local): 27.52%; North Carolina Tar Heels (Visit): 72.48%. For Pittsburgh Panthers (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.63. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.62, with an expected value of -0.365%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (17 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Margin	Updated
1xBet🎯	3.62I 27.62%NM 26.42%EV -0.365%E -0.101%K -0.139%G +0.000%	1.30I 76.92%NM 73.58%EV -5.78%E -4.45%K -19.27%G +0.000%	4.5%	2026-05-23 15:30
FanDuel🎯	3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -2.29%E -0.645%K -0.899%G +0.000%	1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -6.51%E -5.04%K -22.43%G +0.000%	5.7%	2026-05-23 14:20
DraftKings🎯	3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -3.67%E -1.05%K -1.47%G +0.000%	1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -6.51%E -5.04%K -22.43%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-05-23 18:30
888sport🎯	3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -3.67%E -1.05%K -1.47%G +0.000%	1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -6.51%E -5.04%K -22.43%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-05-23 14:39
Mr Green (SE)🎯	3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -3.67%E -1.05%K -1.47%G +0.000%	1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -6.51%E -5.04%K -22.43%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-05-23 14:40
888sport (SE)🎯	3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -3.67%E -1.05%K -1.47%G +0.000%	1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -6.51%E -5.04%K -22.43%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-05-23 14:39
Bovada🎯	3.45I 28.99%NM 27.22%EV -5.04%E -1.46%K -2.06%G +0.000%	1.29I 77.52%NM 72.78%EV -6.51%E -5.04%K -22.43%G +0.000%	6.5%	2026-05-23 18:30
Caesars🎯	3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -6.42%E -1.89%K -2.67%G +0.000%	1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -3.61%E -2.71%K -10.93%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-05-23 14:39
Hard Rock Bet🎯	3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -6.42%E -1.89%K -2.67%G +0.000%	1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -6.51%E -5.04%K -22.43%G +0.000%	6.9%	2026-05-23 14:38
LowVig.ag🎯	3.37I 29.67%NM 27.99%EV -7.25%E -2.15%K -3.06%G +0.000%	1.31I 76.34%NM 72.01%EV -5.06%E -3.86%K -16.31%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-05-23 17:50
BetOnline.ag🎯	3.37I 29.67%NM 27.99%EV -7.25%E -2.15%K -3.06%G +0.000%	1.31I 76.34%NM 72.01%EV -5.06%E -3.86%K -16.31%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-05-23 17:50
MyBookie.ag🎯	3.36I 29.76%NM 27.59%EV -7.52%E -2.24%K -3.19%G +0.000%	1.28I 78.13%NM 72.41%EV -7.23%E -5.65%K -25.82%G +0.000%	7.9%	2026-05-23 18:40
BetRivers🎯	3.35I 29.85%NM 27.65%EV -7.80%E -2.33%K -3.32%G +0.000%	1.28I 78.13%NM 72.35%EV -7.23%E -5.65%K -25.82%G +0.000%	8.0%	2026-05-23 18:29
betPARX🎯	3.35I 29.85%NM 27.65%EV -7.80%E -2.33%K -3.32%G +0.000%	1.28I 78.13%NM 72.35%EV -7.23%E -5.65%K -25.82%G +0.000%	8.0%	2026-05-23 18:30
Bally Bet🎯	3.35I 29.85%NM 27.65%EV -7.80%E -2.33%K -3.32%G +0.000%	1.28I 78.13%NM 72.35%EV -7.23%E -5.65%K -25.82%G +0.000%	8.0%	2026-05-23 18:28
theScore Bet🎯	3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -9.17%E -2.78%K -3.99%G +0.000%	1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -5.06%E -3.86%K -16.31%G +0.000%	6.6%	2026-05-23 18:59
BetUS🎯	3.29I 30.40%NM 28.48%EV -9.45%E -2.87%K -4.13%G +0.000%	1.31I 76.34%NM 71.52%EV -5.06%E -3.86%K -16.31%G +0.000%	6.7%	2026-05-23 17:49

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.