Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Pittsburgh Panthers v California Golden Bears

Kickoff: 2026-04-10 19:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

13 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Pittsburgh Panthers (Local)

Prediction 71.93%1.39fair odd
EV -0.740%
Edge -0.536%
Kelly -1.95%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.38

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
68.49%71.60%71.88%73.07%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.281.311.311.3878.13%76.25%76.34%72.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

California Golden Bears (Visit)

Prediction 28.07%3.56fair odd
EV -1.75%
Edge -0.499%
Kelly -0.698%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.93%28.40%28.12%31.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.323.313.5033.33%30.09%30.21%28.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Pittsburgh Panthers (Local): 71.93%; California Golden Bears (Visit): 28.07%. For Pittsburgh Panthers (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.39. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.38, with an expected value of -0.740%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (13 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
theScore Bet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -0.740%E -0.536%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -15.78%E -5.26%K -7.89%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-10 16:45
Caesars🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.34%E -3.26%K -13.14%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -4.55%E -1.34%K -1.90%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-10 14:40
LowVig.ag🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.49%EV -5.06%E -3.83%K -15.80%G +0.000%3.31I 30.21%NM 28.51%EV -7.08%E -2.14%K -3.06%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-10 16:04
BetOnline.ag🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.49%EV -5.06%E -3.83%K -15.80%G +0.000%3.31I 30.21%NM 28.51%EV -7.08%E -2.14%K -3.06%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-10 16:05
DraftKings🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -5.06%E -3.83%K -15.80%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -7.36%E -2.23%K -3.20%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-10 05:00
BetUS🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 70.99%EV -5.06%E -3.83%K -15.80%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 29.01%EV -9.33%E -2.89%K -4.18%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-10 16:09
BetMGM🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -5.78%E -4.41%K -18.63%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -4.55%E -1.34%K -1.90%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-10 17:15
Bovada🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -5.78%E -4.41%K -18.63%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -7.36%E -2.23%K -3.20%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-10 16:23
1xBet🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 71.27%EV -5.78%E -4.41%K -18.63%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.73%EV -8.76%E -2.70%K -3.90%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-10 17:30
FanDuel🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -7.21%E -5.59%K -24.87%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -1.75%E -0.499%K -0.698%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-10 16:19
BetRivers🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 72.65%EV -7.93%E -6.20%K -28.33%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.35%EV -4.55%E -1.34%K -1.90%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-10 16:14
betPARX🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 72.65%EV -7.93%E -6.20%K -28.33%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.35%EV -4.55%E -1.34%K -1.90%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-10 16:15
Bally Bet🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 72.65%EV -7.93%E -6.20%K -28.33%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.35%EV -4.55%E -1.34%K -1.90%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-10 16:15
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.