Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Pittsburgh Panthers v California Golden Bears

Kickoff: 2026-04-12 17:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

15 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Pittsburgh Panthers (Local)

Prediction 66.00%1.52fair odd
EV -2.33%
Edge -1.57%
Kelly -4.85%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.48

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
63.28%66.16%65.74%68.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.361.421.421.4873.53%70.36%70.42%67.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

California Golden Bears (Visit)

Prediction 34.00%2.94fair odd
EV +2.01%
Edge +0.671%
Kelly +1.01%
Growth +0.020%

assuming max odds 3.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.51%33.84%34.26%36.72%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.552.772.723.0039.22%36.08%36.76%33.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Pittsburgh Panthers (Local): 66.00%; California Golden Bears (Visit): 34.00%. For California Golden Bears (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.94. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.01%.

Sportsbook Odds (15 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
FanDuel🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -8.93%E -6.47%K -23.49%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV +2.01%E +0.671%K +1.01%G +0.020%5.8%2026-04-12 16:50
BetRivers🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.45%EV -10.25%E -7.53%K -28.46%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.55%EV +0.311%E +0.106%K +0.160%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-12 16:40
Bally Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.45%EV -10.25%E -7.53%K -28.46%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.55%EV +0.311%E +0.106%K +0.160%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-12 16:40
betPARX🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.45%EV -10.25%E -7.53%K -28.46%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.55%EV +0.311%E +0.106%K +0.160%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-12 16:40
theScore Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -7.61%E -5.43%K -19.01%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -1.39%E -0.479%K -0.731%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-12 16:39
MyBookie.ag🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -7.61%E -5.43%K -19.01%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -4.79%E -1.71%K -2.66%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-12 16:18
Betway🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.61%E -5.43%K -19.01%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -6.49%E -2.36%K -3.71%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-12 16:10
1xBet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.70%EV -6.29%E -4.43%K -14.97%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 34.30%EV -7.51%E -2.76%K -4.37%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-12 16:19
Caesars🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -2.33%E -1.57%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -8.19%E -3.03%K -4.82%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-12 15:19
DraftKings🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.31%E -2.97%K -9.57%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -8.19%E -3.03%K -4.82%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-12 14:55
BetMGM🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -4.97%E -3.45%K -11.29%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -8.19%E -3.03%K -4.82%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-12 12:25
Bovada🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -5.63%E -3.93%K -13.08%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -8.19%E -3.03%K -4.82%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-12 14:53
LowVig.ag🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -2.33%E -1.57%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -11.59%E -4.46%K -7.24%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-12 16:25
BetOnline.ag🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -2.33%E -1.57%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -11.59%E -4.46%K -7.24%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-12 16:25
BetUS🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -2.33%E -1.57%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -13.29%E -5.21%K -8.57%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-12 16:30
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.