Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Pittsburgh Panthers v Bucknell Bison

Kickoff: 2026-02-25 20:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

8 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

84%

16%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Pittsburgh Panthers (Local)

Prediction 84.45%1.18fair odd

EV -5.42%

Edge -4.84%

Kelly -45.16%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.12

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

82.94%84.45%84.45%85.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.091.111.111.1291.74%90.40%90.09%89.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Bucknell Bison (Visit)

Prediction 15.55%6.43fair odd

EV +2.65%

Edge +0.401%

Kelly +0.472%

Growth +0.012%

assuming max odds 6.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

14.29%15.55%15.55%17.06%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

5.305.926.006.6018.87%16.88%16.67%15.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Pittsburgh Panthers (Local): 84.45%; Bucknell Bison (Visit): 15.55%. For Bucknell Bison (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 6.43. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 6.60, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.65%.

Sportsbook Odds (8 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local	Visit ▼	Margin	Updated
FanDuel🎯	1.10I 90.91%NM 85.71%EV -7.11%E -6.46%K -71.08%G +0.000%	6.60I 15.15%NM 14.29%EV +2.65%E +0.401%K +0.472%G +0.012%	6.1%	2026-02-25 16:50
Hard Rock Bet🎯	1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.42%E -4.84%K -45.16%G +0.000%	6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -6.69%E -1.11%K -1.34%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-02-25 17:49
888sport🎯	1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -6.26%E -5.64%K -56.94%G +0.000%	6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -6.69%E -1.11%K -1.34%G +0.000%	6.8%	2026-02-25 16:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯	1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -6.26%E -5.64%K -56.94%G +0.000%	6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -6.69%E -1.11%K -1.34%G +0.000%	6.8%	2026-02-25 16:49
888sport (SE)🎯	1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -6.26%E -5.64%K -56.94%G +0.000%	6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -6.69%E -1.11%K -1.34%G +0.000%	6.8%	2026-02-25 16:50
theScore Bet🎯	1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -7.11%E -6.46%K -71.08%G +0.000%	6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -6.69%E -1.11%K -1.34%G +0.000%	7.6%	2026-02-25 16:59
Betway🎯	1.11I 90.09%NM 83.21%EV -6.26%E -5.64%K -56.94%G +0.000%	5.50I 18.18%NM 16.79%EV -14.46%E -2.63%K -3.21%G +0.000%	8.3%	2026-02-25 16:50
1xBet🎯	1.09I 91.74%NM 82.94%EV -7.95%E -7.30%K -88.36%G +0.000%	5.30I 18.87%NM 17.06%EV -17.57%E -3.32%K -4.09%G +0.000%	10.6%	2026-02-25 16:49

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.