Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Pepperdine Waves v Michigan Wolverines

Kickoff: 2026-03-05 21:30 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

14 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Pepperdine Waves (Local)

Prediction 15.61%6.41fair odd
EV +9.27%
Edge +1.32%
Kelly +1.54%
Growth +0.143%

assuming max odds 7.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
13.37%15.62%15.37%17.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.506.066.057.0018.18%16.49%16.53%14.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Michigan Wolverines (Visit)

Prediction 84.39%1.18fair odd
EV -3.80%
Edge -3.33%
Kelly -27.11%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.14

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
82.83%84.38%84.63%86.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.081.111.111.1492.59%90.21%90.09%87.72%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Pepperdine Waves (Local): 15.61%; Michigan Wolverines (Visit): 84.39%. For Pepperdine Waves (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 6.41. 5 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 7.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +9.27%.

Sportsbook Odds (14 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Bovada🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV +9.27%E +1.32%K +1.54%G +0.143%1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -8.86%E -8.20%K -110.73%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-05 18:59
DraftKings🎯6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV +5.37%E +0.795%K +0.933%G +0.050%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -6.33%E -5.70%K -57.52%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-05 17:45
BetMGM🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV +1.46%E +0.225%K +0.266%G +0.004%1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -7.17%E -6.52%K -71.71%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-05 20:45
LowVig.ag🎯6.42I 15.58%NM 14.74%EV +0.215%E +0.034%K +0.040%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.26%EV -6.33%E -5.70%K -57.52%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-05 21:10
BetOnline.ag🎯6.42I 15.58%NM 14.74%EV +0.215%E +0.034%K +0.040%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.26%EV -6.33%E -5.70%K -57.52%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-05 21:10
MyBookie.ag🎯6.20I 16.13%NM 15.07%EV -3.22%E -0.519%K -0.619%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 84.93%EV -7.17%E -6.52%K -71.71%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-05 20:59
BetUS🎯6.10I 16.39%NM 15.40%EV -4.78%E -0.784%K -0.937%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 84.60%EV -6.33%E -5.70%K -57.52%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-05 21:10
Betway🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.37%EV -6.34%E -1.06%K -1.27%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 84.63%EV -8.01%E -7.35%K -89.05%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-05 20:54
1xBet🎯5.69I 17.57%NM 16.45%EV -11.18%E -1.96%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 83.55%EV -5.48%E -4.90%K -45.69%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-05 21:15
betPARX🎯5.60I 17.86%NM 16.54%EV -12.58%E -2.25%K -2.74%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 83.46%EV -6.33%E -5.70%K -57.52%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-05 20:40
BetRivers🎯5.60I 17.86%NM 16.54%EV -12.58%E -2.25%K -2.74%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 83.46%EV -6.33%E -5.70%K -57.52%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-05 20:40
Bally Bet🎯5.60I 17.86%NM 16.54%EV -12.58%E -2.25%K -2.74%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 83.46%EV -6.33%E -5.70%K -57.52%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-05 20:40
FanDuel🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -14.15%E -2.57%K -3.14%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -3.80%E -3.33%K -27.11%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-05 20:55
theScore Bet🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -14.15%E -2.57%K -3.14%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -5.48%E -4.90%K -45.69%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-05 20:54
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig5.68I 17.61%NM 14.97%1.00I 100.00%NM 85.03%17.6%2026-03-05 20:55