The School of College Oddsodds.college
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Penn State Nittany Lions v Washington Huskies

Kickoff: 2026-05-08 21:30 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

11 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Penn State Nittany Lions (Local)

Prediction 41.54%2.41fair odd
EV -4.47%
Edge -1.94%
Kelly -3.44%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
41.03%41.52%41.59%42.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.222.252.252.3045.05%44.39%44.44%43.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Washington Huskies (Visit)

Prediction 58.46%1.71fair odd
EV -5.29%
Edge -3.27%
Kelly -8.53%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.62

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
57.96%58.48%58.41%58.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.571.601.611.6263.69%62.43%62.11%61.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Penn State Nittany Lions (Local): 41.54%; Washington Huskies (Visit): 58.46%. For Penn State Nittany Lions (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.41. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.30, with an expected value of -4.47%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (11 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Caesars🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.47%E -1.94%K -3.44%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.29%E -3.27%K -8.53%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-08 06:14
FanDuel🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -4.47%E -1.94%K -3.44%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -6.46%E -4.04%K -10.76%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-08 13:42
BetMGM🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.54%E -2.91%K -5.23%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.29%E -3.27%K -8.53%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-08 13:28
theScore Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.54%E -2.91%K -5.23%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.29%E -3.27%K -8.53%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-08 13:09
Bovada🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -6.54%E -2.91%K -5.23%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -5.87%E -3.65%K -9.63%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-08 03:23
BetRivers🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -6.54%E -2.91%K -5.23%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -8.21%E -5.23%K -14.41%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-08 13:44
Bally Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -6.54%E -2.91%K -5.23%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -8.21%E -5.23%K -14.41%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-08 13:44
betPARX🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -6.54%E -2.91%K -5.23%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -8.21%E -5.23%K -14.41%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-08 13:45
DraftKings🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 41.97%EV -6.96%E -3.11%K -5.61%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.03%EV -5.29%E -3.27%K -8.53%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-07 23:50
1xBet🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 42.04%EV -7.79%E -3.51%K -6.38%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.96%EV -5.87%E -3.65%K -9.63%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-08 13:29
MyBookie.ag🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 42.04%EV -7.79%E -3.51%K -6.38%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.96%EV -5.87%E -3.65%K -9.63%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-08 15:09
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig◎2.22I 45.05%NM 41.27%1.56I 64.10%NM 58.73%9.1%2026-05-08 13:44