The School of College Oddsodds.college
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Penn State Nittany Lions v Rutgers Scarlet Knights

Kickoff: 2026-04-18 17:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

11 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Penn State Nittany Lions (Local)

Prediction 31.67%3.16fair odd
EV -3.10%
Edge -1.01%
Kelly -1.51%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.06

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.77%32.34%31.58%36.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.602.963.003.0638.46%33.79%33.33%32.68%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Rutgers Scarlet Knights (Visit)

Prediction 68.33%1.46fair odd
EV +2.50%
Edge +1.67%
Kelly +5.00%
Growth +0.125%

assuming max odds 1.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
63.41%67.66%68.42%69.23%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.351.381.361.5074.07%72.66%73.53%66.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Penn State Nittany Lions (Local): 31.67%; Rutgers Scarlet Knights (Visit): 68.33%. For Rutgers Scarlet Knights (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.46. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.50%.

Sportsbook Odds (11 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
theScore Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -17.67%E -6.80%K -11.04%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV +2.50%E +1.67%K +5.00%G +0.125%5.1%2026-04-18 16:10
Caesars🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -5.00%E -1.67%K -2.50%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.33%E -3.09%K -10.83%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-18 15:15
DraftKings🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -5.00%E -1.67%K -2.50%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -6.38%E -4.66%K -17.25%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-18 16:09
BetOnline.ag🎯3.06I 32.68%NM 30.77%EV -3.10%E -1.01%K -1.51%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.23%EV -7.07%E -5.20%K -19.63%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-18 14:04
LowVig.ag🎯3.06I 32.68%NM 30.77%EV -3.10%E -1.01%K -1.51%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.23%EV -7.07%E -5.20%K -19.63%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-18 14:04
Bovada🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -5.00%E -1.67%K -2.50%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.07%E -5.20%K -19.63%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-18 12:23
BetMGM🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -5.00%E -1.67%K -2.50%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.07%E -5.20%K -19.63%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-18 12:30
1xBet🎯2.98I 33.56%NM 31.34%EV -5.63%E -1.89%K -2.85%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.66%EV -7.07%E -5.20%K -19.63%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-18 16:45
BetUS🎯2.98I 33.56%NM 31.34%EV -5.63%E -1.89%K -2.85%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.66%EV -7.07%E -5.20%K -19.63%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-18 14:04
Betway🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.30%EV -9.75%E -3.42%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 67.70%EV -7.07%E -5.20%K -19.63%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-18 16:09
MyBookie.ag🎯3.02I 33.11%NM 30.89%EV -4.37%E -1.45%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.11%EV -7.75%E -5.74%K -22.14%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-18 16:55
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig◎2.98I 33.56%NM 31.18%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.82%7.6%2026-04-18 16:30