The School of College Oddsodds.college
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Penn State Nittany Lions v Minnesota Golden Gophers

Kickoff: 2026-05-03 15:30 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

11 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Penn State Nittany Lions (Local)

Prediction 26.05%3.84fair odd
EV -3.61%
Edge -0.977%
Kelly -1.34%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.35%26.36%25.83%28.42%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.303.623.683.7030.30%27.64%27.17%27.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Minnesota Golden Gophers (Visit)

Prediction 73.95%1.35fair odd
EV -3.13%
Edge -2.39%
Kelly -10.08%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.31

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
71.58%73.64%74.17%74.65%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.251.271.271.3180.00%78.52%78.74%76.34%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Penn State Nittany Lions (Local): 26.05%; Minnesota Golden Gophers (Visit): 73.95%. For Minnesota Golden Gophers (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.35. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.31, with an expected value of -3.13%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (11 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Caesars🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -3.61%E -0.977%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -4.60%E -3.57%K -15.88%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-03 12:03
DraftKings🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -3.61%E -0.977%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -6.08%E -4.79%K -22.53%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-03 00:30
Bovada🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -3.61%E -0.977%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 74.60%EV -6.82%E -5.42%K -26.24%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-03 02:38
BetOnline.ag🎯3.69I 27.10%NM 25.60%EV -3.87%E -1.05%K -1.44%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.40%EV -6.08%E -4.79%K -22.53%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-03 12:05
LowVig.ag🎯3.69I 27.10%NM 25.60%EV -3.87%E -1.05%K -1.44%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.40%EV -6.08%E -4.79%K -22.53%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-03 12:10
1xBet🎯3.68I 27.17%NM 25.35%EV -4.14%E -1.12%K -1.54%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.65%EV -7.56%E -6.05%K -30.25%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-03 15:25
FanDuel🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -4.92%E -1.35%K -1.86%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -6.08%E -4.79%K -22.53%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-03 14:14
MyBookie.ag🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -6.22%E -1.73%K -2.39%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -6.82%E -5.42%K -26.24%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-03 12:15
BetUS🎯3.59I 27.86%NM 26.13%EV -6.48%E -1.80%K -2.50%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 73.87%EV -6.08%E -4.79%K -22.53%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-03 12:45
BetMGM🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -8.82%E -2.52%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.60%E -3.57%K -15.88%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-03 01:15
theScore Bet🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -14.03%E -4.25%K -6.10%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -3.13%E -2.39%K -10.08%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-03 15:20
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig◎3.62I 27.62%NM 26.27%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.73%5.1%2026-05-03 15:25