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Penn State Nittany Lions v Iowa Hawkeyes
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Penn State Nittany Lions (Local)
assuming max odds 3.75
Iowa Hawkeyes (Visit)
assuming max odds 1.29
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Penn State Nittany Lions (Local): 26.80%; Iowa Hawkeyes (Visit): 73.20%. For Penn State Nittany Lions (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.73. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.75, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.497%.
Sportsbook Odds (15 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.70%EV +0.497%E +0.133%K +0.181%G +0.001% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 75.30%EV -9.96%E -8.10%K -43.32%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-14 16:40 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.70%EV +0.497%E +0.133%K +0.181%G +0.001% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 75.30%EV -9.96%E -8.10%K -43.32%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-14 16:40 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.70%EV +0.497%E +0.133%K +0.181%G +0.001% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 75.30%EV -9.96%E -8.10%K -43.32%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-14 16:40 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -3.52%E -0.979%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.57%E -4.32%K -19.21%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-14 03:50 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -4.86%E -1.37%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -5.57%E -4.32%K -19.21%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-14 17:15 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -6.20%E -1.77%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.57%E -4.32%K -19.21%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-14 03:49 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -6.20%E -1.77%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.57%E -4.32%K -19.21%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-14 17:15 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -6.20%E -1.77%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -6.30%E -4.92%K -22.51%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-14 04:58 |
| Fliff🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.16%EV -6.20%E -1.77%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 73.84%EV -9.23%E -7.44%K -38.46%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-14 16:40 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.47I 28.82%NM 27.10%EV -7.01%E -2.02%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.90%EV -5.57%E -4.32%K -19.21%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-14 12:35 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.47I 28.82%NM 27.10%EV -7.01%E -2.02%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.90%EV -5.57%E -4.32%K -19.21%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-14 12:35 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.42I 29.24%NM 27.39%EV -8.35%E -2.44%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.61%EV -5.57%E -4.32%K -19.21%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-14 17:30 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 3.36I 29.76%NM 27.74%EV -9.95%E -2.96%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.26%EV -5.57%E -4.32%K -19.21%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-14 17:14 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.80%EV -10.22%E -3.05%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.20%EV -5.57%E -4.32%K -19.21%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-14 13:44 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -12.90%E -3.97%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -5.57%E -4.32%K -19.21%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-14 17:15 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (1)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig◎ | 3.64I 27.47%NM 26.17% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.83% | 5.0% | 2026-03-14 17:49 |