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Penn State Nittany Lions v Iowa Hawkeyes
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Penn State Nittany Lions (Local)
assuming max odds 3.40
Iowa Hawkeyes (Visit)
assuming max odds 1.34
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Penn State Nittany Lions (Local): 28.73%; Iowa Hawkeyes (Visit): 71.27%. For Penn State Nittany Lions (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.48. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.40, with an expected value of -2.33%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (15 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caesars🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -2.33%E -0.685%K -0.970%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -5.21%E -3.91%K -15.78%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-15 11:28 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -2.33%E -0.685%K -0.970%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -6.63%E -5.06%K -21.39%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-14 23:50 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -3.77%E -1.12%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -7.34%E -5.65%K -24.48%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-15 00:09 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -5.20%E -1.58%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -5.92%E -4.48%K -18.50%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-14 22:45 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.28I 30.49%NM 28.70%EV -5.78%E -1.76%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.30%EV -5.92%E -4.48%K -18.50%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-15 11:30 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.28I 30.49%NM 28.70%EV -5.78%E -1.76%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.30%EV -5.92%E -4.48%K -18.50%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-15 11:30 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -8.07%E -2.52%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.21%E -3.91%K -15.78%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-15 16:10 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -8.07%E -2.52%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -7.34%E -5.65%K -24.48%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-15 09:30 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.18I 31.45%NM 29.33%EV -8.65%E -2.72%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.67%EV -5.92%E -4.48%K -18.50%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-15 12:25 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 3.16I 31.65%NM 29.46%EV -9.22%E -2.92%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.54%EV -5.92%E -4.48%K -18.50%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-15 16:10 |
| Fliff🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.38%EV -10.95%E -3.53%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 70.62%EV -8.06%E -6.25%K -27.78%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-15 16:05 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.08I 32.47%NM 30.32%EV -11.52%E -3.74%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.68%EV -4.49%E -3.35%K -13.22%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-15 16:05 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.37%EV -12.38%E -4.06%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.63%EV -5.21%E -3.91%K -15.78%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-15 16:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.37%EV -12.38%E -4.06%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.63%EV -5.21%E -3.91%K -15.78%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-15 16:00 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.37%EV -12.38%E -4.06%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.63%EV -5.21%E -3.91%K -15.78%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-15 16:00 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (1)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig◎ | 3.31I 30.21%NM 23.20% | 1.00I 100.00%NM 76.80% | 30.2% | 2026-03-15 16:50 |