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Pacific Tigers v Saint Mary's Gaels

Kickoff: 2026-05-22 21:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

10 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Pacific Tigers (Local)

Prediction 31.36%3.19fair odd
EV +0.054%
Edge +0.017%
Kelly +0.025%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.19

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.84%31.16%31.40%31.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.933.012.983.1934.13%33.26%33.61%31.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Saint Mary's Gaels (Visit)

Prediction 68.64%1.46fair odd
EV -5.28%
Edge -3.83%
Kelly -13.90%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.38

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
68.13%68.84%68.60%70.16%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.341.361.361.3874.63%73.58%73.53%72.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Pacific Tigers (Local): 31.36%; Saint Mary's Gaels (Visit): 68.64%. For Pacific Tigers (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.188. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.190, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.054%.

Sportsbook Odds (10 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯3.19I 31.35%NM 29.89%EV +0.054%E +0.017%K +0.025%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.11%EV -6.66%E -4.89%K -18.49%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-22 15:30
FanDuel🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.84%EV -1.20%E -0.381%K -0.558%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.16%EV -8.03%E -5.99%K -23.61%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-22 15:20
theScore Bet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.91%E -1.97%K -2.95%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.28%E -3.83%K -13.90%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-22 12:20
Hard Rock Bet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -5.91%E -1.97%K -2.95%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.66%E -4.89%K -18.49%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-22 15:20
BetMGM🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -5.91%E -1.97%K -2.95%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.66%E -4.89%K -18.49%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-22 17:10
DraftKings🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -7.47%E -2.53%K -3.83%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -5.28%E -3.83%K -13.90%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-22 11:19
BetRivers🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.40%EV -7.47%E -2.53%K -3.83%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.60%EV -7.34%E -5.44%K -20.98%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-22 17:10
betPARX🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.40%EV -7.47%E -2.53%K -3.83%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.60%EV -7.34%E -5.44%K -20.98%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-22 17:10
Bally Bet🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.40%EV -7.47%E -2.53%K -3.83%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.60%EV -7.34%E -5.44%K -20.98%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-22 17:10
MyBookie.ag🎯2.93I 34.13%NM 31.70%EV -8.10%E -2.76%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.30%EV -6.66%E -4.89%K -18.49%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-22 18:09
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.