Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Oregon St Beavers v Xavier Musketeers

Kickoff: 2026-03-07 01:35 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

17 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Oregon St Beavers (Local)

Prediction 79.44%1.26fair odd
EV -1.50%
Edge -1.21%
Kelly -6.25%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.24

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
75.15%79.36%79.23%80.72%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.151.191.191.2486.96%84.20%84.03%80.65%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Xavier Musketeers (Visit)

Prediction 20.56%4.86fair odd
EV +0.768%
Edge +0.157%
Kelly +0.197%
Growth +0.002%

assuming max odds 4.90

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
19.28%20.64%20.77%24.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.754.454.504.9026.67%22.48%22.22%20.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Oregon St Beavers (Local): 79.44%; Xavier Musketeers (Visit): 20.56%. For Xavier Musketeers (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.86. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.90, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.768%.

Sportsbook Odds (17 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
FanDuel🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 80.72%EV -7.06%E -6.03%K -41.53%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.28%EV +0.768%E +0.157%K +0.197%G +0.002%5.9%2026-03-06 19:00
theScore Bet🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 80.67%EV -8.65%E -7.52%K -57.66%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.33%EV -1.29%E -0.268%K -0.339%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-06 19:00
BetRivers🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 80.34%EV -8.65%E -7.52%K -57.66%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.66%EV -3.35%E -0.712%K -0.904%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-06 19:00
betPARX🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 80.34%EV -8.65%E -7.52%K -57.66%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.66%EV -3.35%E -0.712%K -0.904%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-06 19:00
Bally Bet🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 80.34%EV -8.65%E -7.52%K -57.66%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.66%EV -3.35%E -0.712%K -0.904%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-06 19:00
888sport🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.68%E -3.90%K -23.39%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -7.46%E -1.66%K -2.13%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-06 07:45
888sport (SE)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.68%E -3.90%K -23.39%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -7.46%E -1.66%K -2.13%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-06 07:45
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.68%E -3.90%K -23.39%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -7.46%E -1.66%K -2.13%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-06 07:45
DraftKings🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 79.09%EV -5.47%E -4.60%K -28.80%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -7.46%E -1.66%K -2.13%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-05 23:25
Bovada🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -6.27%E -5.31%K -34.81%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -7.46%E -1.66%K -2.13%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-06 00:55
Betway🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -7.06%E -6.03%K -41.53%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -7.46%E -1.66%K -2.13%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-06 19:00
1xBet🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 79.08%EV -6.27%E -5.31%K -34.81%G +0.000%4.46I 22.42%NM 20.92%EV -8.28%E -1.86%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-07 00:00
BetMGM🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -4.68%E -3.90%K -23.39%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -9.51%E -2.16%K -2.80%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-06 02:20
BetOnline.ag🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.20%EV -3.09%E -2.53%K -14.04%G +0.000%4.13I 24.21%NM 22.80%EV -15.07%E -3.65%K -4.81%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-06 21:10
LowVig.ag🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.20%EV -3.09%E -2.53%K -14.04%G +0.000%4.13I 24.21%NM 22.80%EV -15.07%E -3.65%K -4.81%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-06 21:05
BetUS🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.40%EV -3.09%E -2.53%K -14.04%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.60%EV -18.77%E -4.75%K -6.36%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-06 20:15
MyBookie.ag🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 75.15%EV -1.50%E -1.21%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.85%EV -22.88%E -6.10%K -8.32%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-06 23:39
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig1.18I 84.75%NM 80.69%4.93I 20.28%NM 19.31%5.0%2026-03-07 01:14