The School of College Oddsodds.college
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Oregon St Beavers v Xavier Musketeers

Kickoff: 2026-03-10 00:36 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

17 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Oregon St Beavers (Local)

Prediction 74.13%1.35fair odd
EV -2.90%
Edge -2.21%
Kelly -9.34%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.31

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
72.19%74.18%74.22%76.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.211.261.261.3182.64%79.40%79.37%76.34%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Xavier Musketeers (Visit)

Prediction 25.87%3.86fair odd
EV +3.50%
Edge +0.875%
Kelly +1.17%
Growth +0.041%

assuming max odds 4.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.22%25.82%25.78%27.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.353.653.604.0029.85%27.36%27.78%25.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Oregon St Beavers (Local): 74.13%; Xavier Musketeers (Visit): 25.87%. For Xavier Musketeers (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.86. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.50%.

Sportsbook Odds (17 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
BetRivers🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 76.78%EV -10.31%E -8.52%K -49.09%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.22%EV +3.50%E +0.875%K +1.17%G +0.041%7.6%2026-03-09 18:05
Bally Bet🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 76.78%EV -10.31%E -8.52%K -49.09%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.22%EV +3.50%E +0.875%K +1.17%G +0.041%7.6%2026-03-09 18:00
betPARX🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 76.78%EV -10.31%E -8.52%K -49.09%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.22%EV +3.50%E +0.875%K +1.17%G +0.041%7.6%2026-03-09 18:00
FanDuel🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.10%EV -6.60%E -5.24%K -25.39%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -1.68%E -0.441%K -0.598%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-09 20:30
888sport (SE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -7.34%E -5.87%K -29.37%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -2.97%E -0.792%K -1.08%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-09 18:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -7.34%E -5.87%K -29.37%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -2.97%E -0.792%K -1.08%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-09 18:10
888sport🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -7.34%E -5.87%K -29.37%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -2.97%E -0.792%K -1.08%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-09 18:10
theScore Bet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -7.34%E -5.87%K -29.37%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -4.26%E -1.15%K -1.58%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-10 00:35
MyBookie.ag🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -6.60%E -5.24%K -25.39%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -6.85%E -1.90%K -2.63%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-09 18:14
1xBet🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 74.02%EV -6.60%E -5.24%K -25.39%G +0.000%3.59I 27.86%NM 25.98%EV -7.11%E -1.98%K -2.74%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-09 18:15
DraftKings🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.38%E -3.39%K -15.10%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -9.44%E -2.70%K -3.78%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-09 22:19
Bovada🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -5.12%E -4.00%K -18.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -9.44%E -2.70%K -3.78%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-09 22:23
Betway🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -7.34%E -5.87%K -29.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -9.44%E -2.70%K -3.78%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-09 22:35
LowVig.ag🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 72.90%EV -4.38%E -3.39%K -15.10%G +0.000%3.47I 28.82%NM 27.10%EV -10.21%E -2.94%K -4.14%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-09 15:55
BetOnline.ag🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 72.90%EV -4.38%E -3.39%K -15.10%G +0.000%3.47I 28.82%NM 27.10%EV -10.21%E -2.94%K -4.14%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-09 15:59
BetMGM🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -2.90%E -2.21%K -9.34%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -12.03%E -3.54%K -5.01%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-09 22:34
BetUS🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 72.20%EV -4.38%E -3.39%K -15.10%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.80%EV -13.32%E -3.98%K -5.67%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-09 15:54
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig◎1.27I 78.74%NM 75.10%3.83I 26.11%NM 24.90%4.8%2026-03-10 00:34