Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Oregon St Beavers v Xavier Musketeers

Kickoff: 2026-03-08 00:07 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

17 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Oregon St Beavers (Local)

Prediction 79.12%1.26fair odd
EV -5.05%
Edge -4.21%
Kelly -25.27%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
77.36%79.11%79.09%80.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.151.191.201.2086.96%83.99%83.33%83.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Xavier Musketeers (Visit)

Prediction 20.88%4.79fair odd
EV +0.218%
Edge +0.045%
Kelly +0.057%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
19.33%20.89%20.91%22.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.104.424.504.8024.39%22.62%22.22%20.83%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Oregon St Beavers (Local): 79.12%; Xavier Musketeers (Visit): 20.88%. For Xavier Musketeers (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.79. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.80, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.218%.

Sportsbook Odds (17 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
theScore Bet🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 80.67%EV -9.01%E -7.84%K -60.07%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.33%EV +0.218%E +0.045%K +0.057%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-07 23:04
FanDuel🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -5.85%E -4.91%K -30.77%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -1.87%E -0.398%K -0.505%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-07 15:00
888sport🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.05%E -4.21%K -25.27%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -6.05%E -1.34%K -1.73%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-07 06:10
888sport (SE)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.05%E -4.21%K -25.27%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -6.05%E -1.34%K -1.73%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-07 06:09
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.05%E -4.21%K -25.27%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -6.05%E -1.34%K -1.73%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-07 06:09
DraftKings🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 79.09%EV -5.85%E -4.91%K -30.77%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -6.05%E -1.34%K -1.73%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-07 03:59
BetMGM🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 79.09%EV -5.85%E -4.91%K -30.77%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -6.05%E -1.34%K -1.73%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-07 04:39
Bovada🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -6.64%E -5.62%K -36.87%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -6.05%E -1.34%K -1.73%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-07 05:06
MyBookie.ag🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -6.64%E -5.62%K -36.87%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -6.05%E -1.34%K -1.73%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-07 20:44
Betway🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -7.43%E -6.35%K -43.70%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -6.05%E -1.34%K -1.73%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-07 23:05
LowVig.ag🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -5.05%E -4.21%K -25.27%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -8.13%E -1.85%K -2.39%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-07 19:34
BetOnline.ag🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -5.05%E -4.21%K -25.27%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -8.13%E -1.85%K -2.39%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-07 19:39
1xBet🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 78.48%EV -5.85%E -4.91%K -30.77%G +0.000%4.34I 23.04%NM 21.52%EV -9.39%E -2.16%K -2.81%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-07 14:34
BetUS🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -5.05%E -4.21%K -25.27%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -12.31%E -2.93%K -3.85%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-07 20:19
BetRivers🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 77.36%EV -5.05%E -4.21%K -25.27%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -14.40%E -3.51%K -4.64%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-07 14:59
betPARX🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 77.36%EV -5.05%E -4.21%K -25.27%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -14.40%E -3.51%K -4.64%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-07 14:59
Bally Bet🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 77.36%EV -5.05%E -4.21%K -25.27%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -14.40%E -3.51%K -4.64%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-07 14:59
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig1.20I 83.33%NM 79.87%4.76I 21.01%NM 20.13%4.3%2026-03-07 22:54