Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Oregon St Beavers v Portland Pilots

Kickoff: 2026-05-13 00:30 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

19 sportsbooks (9 in analysis )

74%

26%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Oregon St Beavers (Local)

Prediction 74.19%1.35fair odd

EV -4.29%

Edge -3.33%

Kelly -14.81%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.29

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

72.49%74.25%74.15%75.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.241.271.271.2980.65%78.90%78.74%77.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Portland Pilots (Visit)

Prediction 25.81%3.87fair odd

EV +0.655%

Edge +0.168%

Kelly +0.226%

Growth +0.001%

assuming max odds 3.90

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

24.12%25.75%25.85%27.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

3.403.633.553.9029.41%27.58%28.17%25.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Oregon St Beavers (Local): 74.19%; Portland Pilots (Visit): 25.81%. For Portland Pilots (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.87. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.90, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.655%.

Sportsbook Odds (19 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local	Visit ▼	Margin	Updated
1xBet🎯	1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -6.52%E -5.17%K -25.07%G +0.000%	3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV +0.655%E +0.168%K +0.226%G +0.001%	5.0%	2026-05-12 17:30
BetMGM🎯	1.24I 80.65%NM 75.88%EV -8.00%E -6.45%K -33.35%G +0.000%	3.90I 25.64%NM 24.12%EV +0.655%E +0.168%K +0.226%G +0.001%	6.3%	2026-05-12 17:30
FanDuel🎯	1.26I 79.37%NM 75.10%EV -6.52%E -5.17%K -25.07%G +0.000%	3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -1.93%E -0.507%K -0.688%G +0.000%	5.7%	2026-05-12 21:45
888sport🎯	1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -7.26%E -5.81%K -29.04%G +0.000%	3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -3.22%E -0.858%K -1.17%G +0.000%	6.7%	2026-05-12 23:15
888sport (SE)🎯	1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -7.26%E -5.81%K -29.04%G +0.000%	3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -3.22%E -0.858%K -1.17%G +0.000%	6.7%	2026-05-12 23:15
Mr Green (SE)🎯	1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -7.26%E -5.81%K -29.04%G +0.000%	3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -3.22%E -0.858%K -1.17%G +0.000%	6.7%	2026-05-12 23:15
Caesars🎯	1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -4.29%E -3.33%K -14.81%G +0.000%	3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -4.51%E -1.22%K -1.67%G +0.000%	4.5%	2026-05-12 13:29
theScore Bet🎯	1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -7.26%E -5.81%K -29.04%G +0.000%	3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -4.51%E -1.22%K -1.67%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-05-12 12:34
Bovada🎯	1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -5.78%E -4.55%K -21.40%G +0.000%	3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -7.09%E -1.97%K -2.73%G +0.000%	6.5%	2026-05-12 16:34
MyBookie.ag🎯	1.27I 78.74%NM 73.65%EV -5.78%E -4.55%K -21.40%G +0.000%	3.55I 28.17%NM 26.35%EV -8.38%E -2.36%K -3.29%G +0.000%	6.9%	2026-05-12 18:35
BetOnline.ag🎯	1.29I 77.52%NM 73.29%EV -4.29%E -3.33%K -14.81%G +0.000%	3.54I 28.25%NM 26.71%EV -8.64%E -2.44%K -3.40%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-05-12 21:20
LowVig.ag🎯	1.29I 77.52%NM 73.29%EV -4.29%E -3.33%K -14.81%G +0.000%	3.54I 28.25%NM 26.71%EV -8.64%E -2.44%K -3.40%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-05-12 21:20
DraftKings🎯	1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.29%E -3.33%K -14.81%G +0.000%	3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -9.67%E -2.76%K -3.87%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-05-12 00:39
Hard Rock Bet🎯	1.27I 78.74%NM 73.38%EV -5.78%E -4.55%K -21.40%G +0.000%	3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -9.67%E -2.76%K -3.87%G +0.000%	7.3%	2026-05-12 18:35
BetRivers🎯	1.27I 78.74%NM 73.38%EV -5.78%E -4.55%K -21.40%G +0.000%	3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -9.67%E -2.76%K -3.87%G +0.000%	7.3%	2026-05-12 16:00
betPARX🎯	1.27I 78.74%NM 73.38%EV -5.78%E -4.55%K -21.40%G +0.000%	3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -9.67%E -2.76%K -3.87%G +0.000%	7.3%	2026-05-12 16:00
Bally Bet🎯	1.27I 78.74%NM 73.38%EV -5.78%E -4.55%K -21.40%G +0.000%	3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -9.67%E -2.76%K -3.87%G +0.000%	7.3%	2026-05-12 16:00
Betway🎯	1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -7.26%E -5.81%K -29.04%G +0.000%	3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -9.67%E -2.76%K -3.87%G +0.000%	8.6%	2026-05-12 18:55
BetUS🎯	1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -4.29%E -3.33%K -14.81%G +0.000%	3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -12.25%E -3.60%K -5.10%G +0.000%	6.9%	2026-05-12 21:19

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

Bookmaker	Local	Visit	Margin ▲	Updated
Novig◎	1.24I 80.65%NM 74.90%	3.70I 27.03%NM 25.10%	7.7%	2026-05-12 21:00