Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.22
assuming max odds 4.50
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Oregon St Beavers (Local): 77.64%; Mercer Bears (Visit): 22.36%. For Mercer Bears (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.47. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.639%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 888sport🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.84%E -5.70%K -34.19%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV +0.639%E +0.142%K +0.183%G +0.001% | 5.6% | 2026-03-27 20:35 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.84%E -5.70%K -34.19%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV +0.639%E +0.142%K +0.183%G +0.001% | 5.6% | 2026-03-27 20:35 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.84%E -5.70%K -34.19%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV +0.639%E +0.142%K +0.183%G +0.001% | 5.6% | 2026-03-27 20:35 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -8.39%E -7.11%K -46.61%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV +0.639%E +0.142%K +0.183%G +0.001% | 7.0% | 2026-03-27 21:00 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -6.84%E -5.70%K -34.19%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -1.60%E -0.363%K -0.470%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-27 20:35 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.84%EV -6.06%E -5.01%K -28.86%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.16%EV -4.95%E -1.17%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-27 16:19 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.63%EV -6.06%E -5.01%K -28.86%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -6.07%E -1.45%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-27 16:23 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -6.84%E -5.70%K -34.19%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -6.07%E -1.45%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-27 20:30 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -5.28%E -4.33%K -24.02%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -8.31%E -2.03%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-27 16:44 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.21%EV -6.06%E -5.01%K -28.86%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -8.31%E -2.03%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-27 20:39 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 76.78%EV -6.06%E -5.01%K -28.86%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.22%EV -10.54%E -2.64%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-27 20:25 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 76.78%EV -6.06%E -5.01%K -28.86%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.22%EV -10.54%E -2.64%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-27 20:25 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 76.78%EV -6.06%E -5.01%K -28.86%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.22%EV -10.54%E -2.64%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-27 20:25 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -6.84%E -5.70%K -34.19%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -10.54%E -2.64%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-27 20:30 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 77.07%EV -7.61%E -6.40%K -40.07%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.93%EV -10.54%E -2.64%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-27 20:55 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig◎ | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.02% | 4.52I 22.12%NM 20.98% | 5.5% | 2026-03-27 23:25 |