Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Oregon St Beavers v Iowa Hawkeyes

Kickoff: 2026-03-01 17:05 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

16 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Oregon St Beavers (Local)

Prediction 64.83%1.54fair odd
EV -2.76%
Edge -1.84%
Kelly -5.52%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
62.87%64.52%64.91%65.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.421.451.441.5070.42%69.17%69.44%66.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Iowa Hawkeyes (Visit)

Prediction 35.17%2.84fair odd
EV -3.28%
Edge -1.19%
Kelly -1.87%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.05%35.48%35.09%37.13%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.522.632.632.7539.68%38.02%38.10%36.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Oregon St Beavers (Local): 64.83%; Iowa Hawkeyes (Visit): 35.17%. For Oregon St Beavers (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.54. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.50, with an expected value of -2.76%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (16 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
DraftKings🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.87%EV -2.76%E -1.84%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 37.13%EV -10.66%E -4.20%K -6.92%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-01 16:50
LowVig.ag🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.30%EV -3.41%E -2.29%K -6.95%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 36.70%EV -9.61%E -3.74%K -6.12%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-01 15:59
BetOnline.ag🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.30%EV -3.41%E -2.29%K -6.95%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 36.70%EV -9.61%E -3.74%K -6.12%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-01 15:59
theScore Bet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.00%E -4.14%K -13.33%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -5.04%E -1.87%K -2.96%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-01 16:54
FanDuel🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.89%EV -6.00%E -4.14%K -13.33%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 35.11%EV -5.74%E -2.14%K -3.42%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-01 16:54
BetUS🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -6.00%E -4.14%K -13.33%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -8.55%E -3.29%K -5.35%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-01 16:44
BetMGM🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.65%E -4.62%K -15.11%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -3.28%E -1.19%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-01 16:53
888sport🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -6.65%E -4.62%K -15.11%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -7.85%E -3.00%K -4.85%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-01 15:49
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -6.65%E -4.62%K -15.11%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -7.85%E -3.00%K -4.85%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-01 15:49
888sport (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -6.65%E -4.62%K -15.11%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -7.85%E -3.00%K -4.85%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-01 16:00
Betway🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 64.95%EV -7.30%E -5.10%K -16.97%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.05%EV -6.79%E -2.56%K -4.12%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-01 16:54
1xBet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 63.80%EV -7.30%E -5.10%K -16.97%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 36.20%EV -11.37%E -4.51%K -7.48%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-01 16:59
Bovada🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -7.94%E -5.59%K -18.91%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -3.28%E -1.19%K -1.87%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-01 16:54
BetRivers🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 64.94%EV -7.94%E -5.59%K -18.91%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.06%EV -7.50%E -2.85%K -4.60%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-01 16:00
Bally Bet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 64.94%EV -7.94%E -5.59%K -18.91%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.06%EV -7.50%E -2.85%K -4.60%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-01 16:00
betPARX🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 64.94%EV -7.94%E -5.59%K -18.91%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.06%EV -7.50%E -2.85%K -4.60%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-01 16:00
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.