Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Oregon St Beavers v CSU Northridge Matadors

Kickoff: 2026-05-03 20:05 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

12 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Oregon St Beavers (Local)

Prediction 79.78%1.25fair odd
EV -4.26%
Edge -3.55%
Kelly -21.32%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
78.57%79.73%79.72%80.72%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.151.181.181.2086.96%84.63%84.75%83.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

CSU Northridge Matadors (Visit)

Prediction 20.22%4.95fair odd
EV -0.926%
Edge -0.189%
Kelly -0.237%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.90

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
19.28%20.27%20.28%21.43%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.404.594.554.9022.73%21.80%21.98%20.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Oregon St Beavers (Local): 79.78%; CSU Northridge Matadors (Visit): 20.22%. For CSU Northridge Matadors (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.95. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 4.90, with an expected value of -0.926%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (12 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
888sport🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.26%E -3.55%K -21.32%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -9.01%E -2.00%K -2.58%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-03 03:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.26%E -3.55%K -21.32%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -9.01%E -2.00%K -2.58%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-03 03:20
888sport (SE)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.26%E -3.55%K -21.32%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -9.01%E -2.00%K -2.58%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-03 03:19
DraftKings🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -4.26%E -3.55%K -21.32%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -11.04%E -2.51%K -3.25%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-03 14:40
Bovada🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 78.71%EV -5.06%E -4.25%K -26.64%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.29%EV -11.04%E -2.51%K -3.25%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-03 14:38
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -5.86%E -4.96%K -32.55%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -3.96%E -0.833%K -1.06%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-03 14:15
MyBookie.ag🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -5.86%E -4.96%K -32.55%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -9.01%E -2.00%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-03 14:20
FanDuel🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 80.72%EV -6.66%E -5.69%K -39.16%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.28%EV -0.926%E -0.189%K -0.237%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-03 12:10
Bally Bet🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 79.72%EV -6.66%E -5.69%K -39.16%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV -6.99%E -1.52%K -1.94%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-03 17:35
BetRivers🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 79.72%EV -6.66%E -5.69%K -39.16%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV -6.99%E -1.52%K -1.94%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-03 17:40
betPARX🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 79.72%EV -6.66%E -5.69%K -39.16%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV -6.99%E -1.52%K -1.94%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-03 17:40
theScore Bet🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 80.67%EV -8.25%E -7.18%K -55.01%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.33%EV -2.95%E -0.614%K -0.776%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-03 17:40
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.