Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Oregon St Beavers v CSU Northridge Matadors

Kickoff: 2026-05-02 00:35 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

13 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Oregon St Beavers (Local)

Prediction 81.42%1.23fair odd
EV -4.74%
Edge -4.05%
Kelly -27.88%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.17

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
80.65%81.51%81.17%82.83%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.131.151.151.1788.50%86.90%86.96%85.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

CSU Northridge Matadors (Visit)

Prediction 18.58%5.38fair odd
EV +2.19%
Edge +0.399%
Kelly +0.488%
Growth +0.011%

assuming max odds 5.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
17.17%18.49%18.83%19.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.755.065.005.5021.05%19.77%20.00%18.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Oregon St Beavers (Local): 81.42%; CSU Northridge Matadors (Visit): 18.58%. For CSU Northridge Matadors (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.38. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.19%.

Sportsbook Odds (13 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
FanDuel🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -7.18%E -6.30%K -51.30%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV +2.19%E +0.399%K +0.488%G +0.011%5.9%2026-05-01 14:30
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -6.37%E -5.54%K -42.45%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -2.45%E -0.467%K -0.577%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-01 18:39
theScore Bet🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 82.29%EV -8.00%E -7.08%K -61.51%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.71%EV -2.45%E -0.467%K -0.577%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-01 09:44
888sport🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.74%E -4.05%K -27.88%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -7.10%E -1.42%K -1.77%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-01 18:10
888sport (SE)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.74%E -4.05%K -27.88%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -7.10%E -1.42%K -1.77%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-01 18:09
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.74%E -4.05%K -27.88%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -7.10%E -1.42%K -1.77%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-01 18:09
DraftKings🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -5.55%E -4.79%K -34.71%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -7.10%E -1.42%K -1.77%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-01 00:05
BetMGM🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -5.55%E -4.79%K -34.71%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -7.10%E -1.42%K -1.77%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-01 01:25
Bovada🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -6.37%E -5.54%K -42.45%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -7.10%E -1.42%K -1.77%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-01 03:04
BetRivers🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -7.18%E -6.30%K -51.30%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -7.10%E -1.42%K -1.77%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-01 18:30
Bally Bet🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -7.18%E -6.30%K -51.30%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -7.10%E -1.42%K -1.77%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-01 18:30
betPARX🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -7.18%E -6.30%K -51.30%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -7.10%E -1.42%K -1.77%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-01 18:29
Betway🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 80.65%EV -7.18%E -6.30%K -51.30%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.35%EV -11.74%E -2.47%K -3.13%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-01 14:40
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.