The School of College Oddsodds.college
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
+ New modelAll models

Oregon St Beavers v Air Force Falcons

Kickoff: 2026-05-16 20:35 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

19 sportsbooks (9 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Oregon St Beavers (Local)

Prediction 83.47%1.20fair odd
EV -4.01%
Edge -3.48%
Kelly -26.71%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.15

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
82.70%83.58%83.23%84.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.101.121.131.1590.91%88.91%88.50%86.96%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Air Force Falcons (Visit)

Prediction 16.53%6.05fair odd
EV +2.47%
Edge +0.399%
Kelly +0.475%
Growth +0.012%

assuming max odds 6.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
15.18%16.42%16.77%17.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.405.695.616.2018.52%17.57%17.83%16.13%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Oregon St Beavers (Local): 83.47%; Air Force Falcons (Visit): 16.53%. For Air Force Falcons (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 6.05. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 6.20, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.47%.

Sportsbook Odds (19 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
FanDuel🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.82%EV -7.35%E -6.62%K -66.78%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.18%EV +2.47%E +0.399%K +0.475%G +0.012%6.2%2026-05-16 17:15
1xBet🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.46%EV -5.68%E -5.02%K -43.66%G +0.000%6.14I 16.29%NM 15.54%EV +1.48%E +0.241%K +0.288%G +0.004%4.8%2026-05-16 19:06
BetMGM🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -6.51%E -5.81%K -54.26%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -0.834%E -0.139%K -0.167%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-16 17:10
theScore Bet🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -8.18%E -7.44%K -81.80%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -0.834%E -0.139%K -0.167%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-16 18:50
MyBookie.ag🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.82%EV -6.51%E -5.81%K -54.26%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.18%EV -4.14%E -0.714%K -0.862%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-16 18:55
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.70%EV -6.51%E -5.81%K -54.26%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -4.97%E -0.864%K -1.05%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-16 17:15
BetRivers🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 83.82%EV -7.35%E -6.62%K -66.78%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.18%EV -4.97%E -0.864%K -1.05%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-16 18:50
Bally Bet🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 83.82%EV -7.35%E -6.62%K -66.78%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.18%EV -4.97%E -0.864%K -1.05%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-16 18:50
betPARX🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 83.82%EV -7.35%E -6.62%K -66.78%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.18%EV -4.97%E -0.864%K -1.05%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-16 18:50
BetOnline.ag🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 83.23%EV -5.68%E -5.02%K -43.66%G +0.000%5.61I 17.83%NM 16.77%EV -7.28%E -1.30%K -1.58%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-16 15:00
LowVig.ag🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 83.23%EV -5.68%E -5.02%K -43.66%G +0.000%5.61I 17.83%NM 16.77%EV -7.28%E -1.30%K -1.58%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-16 15:00
Caesars🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.01%E -3.48%K -26.71%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -9.10%E -1.65%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-16 14:59
DraftKings🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.84%E -4.25%K -34.58%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -9.10%E -1.65%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-16 12:50
888sport🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.84%E -4.25%K -34.58%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -9.10%E -1.65%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-16 15:15
888sport (SE)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.84%E -4.25%K -34.58%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -9.10%E -1.65%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-16 15:15
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.84%E -4.25%K -34.58%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -9.10%E -1.65%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-16 15:15
Betway🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 83.21%EV -7.35%E -6.62%K -66.78%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.79%EV -9.10%E -1.65%K -2.02%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-16 17:15
Bovada🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 82.70%EV -5.68%E -5.02%K -43.66%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.30%EV -10.75%E -1.99%K -2.44%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-16 12:55
BetUS🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 82.70%EV -5.68%E -5.02%K -43.66%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.30%EV -10.75%E -1.99%K -2.44%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-16 14:59
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig◎1.00I 100.00%NM 66.78%2.01I 49.75%NM 33.22%49.8%2026-05-16 19:55