The School of College Oddsodds.college
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
+ New modelAll models

Oregon St Beavers v Air Force Falcons

Kickoff: 2026-05-16 00:35 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

19 sportsbooks (9 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Oregon St Beavers (Local)

Prediction 79.01%1.27fair odd
EV -3.61%
Edge -2.96%
Kelly -16.42%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.22

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
77.78%79.54%78.95%83.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.121.191.191.2289.29%84.22%84.03%81.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Air Force Falcons (Visit)

Prediction 20.99%4.76fair odd
EV +15.47%
Edge +2.81%
Kelly +3.44%
Growth +0.532%

assuming max odds 5.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
16.92%20.46%21.05%22.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.204.554.505.5023.81%21.99%22.22%18.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Oregon St Beavers (Local): 79.01%; Air Force Falcons (Visit): 20.99%. For Air Force Falcons (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.76. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +15.47%.

Sportsbook Odds (19 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
theScore Bet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -11.51%E -10.28%K -95.94%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV +15.47%E +2.81%K +3.44%G +0.532%7.5%2026-05-15 23:50
1xBet🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.40%EV -7.56%E -6.46%K -44.49%G +0.000%5.12I 19.53%NM 18.60%EV +7.49%E +1.46%K +1.82%G +0.136%5.0%2026-05-15 22:10
FanDuel🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -8.35%E -7.20%K -52.21%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV +4.97%E +0.994%K +1.24%G +0.062%6.2%2026-05-15 21:20
BetMGM🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -6.77%E -5.74%K -37.63%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -0.279%E -0.059%K -0.074%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-15 16:38
888sport🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.19%E -4.33%K -25.96%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -5.53%E -1.23%K -1.58%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-15 15:30
888sport (SE)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.19%E -4.33%K -25.96%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -5.53%E -1.23%K -1.58%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-15 15:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.19%E -4.33%K -25.96%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -5.53%E -1.23%K -1.58%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-15 15:30
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.19%E -4.33%K -25.96%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -5.53%E -1.23%K -1.58%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-15 18:35
DraftKings🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 79.09%EV -5.98%E -5.03%K -31.49%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -5.53%E -1.23%K -1.58%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-15 15:10
MyBookie.ag🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 79.09%EV -5.98%E -5.03%K -31.49%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -5.53%E -1.23%K -1.58%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-15 18:40
Bovada🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -6.77%E -5.74%K -37.63%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -5.53%E -1.23%K -1.58%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-15 15:14
Caesars🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -3.61%E -2.96%K -16.42%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -7.63%E -1.73%K -2.24%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-15 13:48
LowVig.ag🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -5.19%E -4.33%K -25.96%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -7.63%E -1.73%K -2.24%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-15 15:10
BetOnline.ag🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -5.19%E -4.33%K -25.96%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -7.63%E -1.73%K -2.24%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-15 15:10
BetRivers🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 78.32%EV -5.98%E -5.03%K -31.49%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.68%EV -9.73%E -2.26%K -2.95%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-15 20:20
betPARX🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 78.32%EV -5.98%E -5.03%K -31.49%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.68%EV -9.73%E -2.26%K -2.95%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-15 20:20
Bally Bet🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 78.32%EV -5.98%E -5.03%K -31.49%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.68%EV -9.73%E -2.26%K -2.95%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-15 20:20
Betway🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 78.27%EV -6.77%E -5.74%K -37.63%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.73%EV -10.78%E -2.54%K -3.32%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-15 22:55
BetUS🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -5.19%E -4.33%K -25.96%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -11.83%E -2.82%K -3.70%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-15 15:09
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig◎1.10I 90.91%NM 64.52%2.00I 50.00%NM 35.48%40.9%2026-05-16 00:09