Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Oregon Ducks v Yale Bulldogs

Kickoff: 2026-05-30 00:05 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

19 sportsbooks (10 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Oregon Ducks (Local)

Prediction 75.01%1.33fair odd
EV -3.23%
Edge -2.51%
Kelly -11.15%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.29

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
73.62%74.85%75.05%76.24%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.231.251.251.2981.30%79.90%80.00%77.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Yale Bulldogs (Visit)

Prediction 24.99%4.00fair odd
EV +0.194%
Edge +0.048%
Kelly +0.065%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.01

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.76%25.15%24.95%26.38%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.503.763.754.0128.57%26.57%26.67%24.94%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Oregon Ducks (Local): 75.01%; Yale Bulldogs (Visit): 24.99%. For Yale Bulldogs (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.00. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.01, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.194%.

Sportsbook Odds (19 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
1xBet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.24%EV -6.23%E -4.99%K -24.93%G +0.000%4.01I 24.94%NM 23.76%EV +0.194%E +0.048%K +0.065%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-29 23:54
Caesars🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -5.48%E -4.35%K -21.09%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -2.55%E -0.655%K -0.881%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-29 23:55
BetOnline.ag🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.44%EV -6.23%E -4.99%K -24.93%G +0.000%3.84I 26.04%NM 24.56%EV -4.05%E -1.06%K -1.43%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-29 23:59
LowVig.ag🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.44%EV -6.23%E -4.99%K -24.93%G +0.000%3.84I 26.04%NM 24.56%EV -4.05%E -1.06%K -1.43%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-30 00:00
FanDuel🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.10%EV -5.48%E -4.35%K -21.09%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -5.05%E -1.33%K -1.80%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-30 00:00
theScore Bet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 75.40%EV -6.98%E -5.63%K -29.10%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -5.05%E -1.33%K -1.80%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-30 00:00
BetRivers🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 75.55%EV -7.73%E -6.29%K -33.62%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.45%EV -5.05%E -1.33%K -1.80%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-30 00:00
Bally Bet🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 75.55%EV -7.73%E -6.29%K -33.62%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.45%EV -5.05%E -1.33%K -1.80%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-30 00:00
betPARX🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 75.55%EV -7.73%E -6.29%K -33.62%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.45%EV -5.05%E -1.33%K -1.80%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-29 23:59
Bovada🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.23%E -4.99%K -24.93%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -6.30%E -1.68%K -2.29%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-29 23:58
888sport🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.23%E -4.99%K -24.93%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -6.30%E -1.68%K -2.29%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-29 23:59
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.23%E -4.99%K -24.93%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -6.30%E -1.68%K -2.29%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-29 23:59
888sport (SE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.23%E -4.99%K -24.93%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -6.30%E -1.68%K -2.29%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-29 23:59
Pinnacle🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 74.70%EV -5.48%E -4.35%K -21.09%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 25.30%EV -7.05%E -1.90%K -2.59%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-29 23:59
DraftKings🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -4.73%E -3.73%K -17.53%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -7.55%E -2.04%K -2.80%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-30 00:00
MyBookie.ag🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 74.60%EV -5.48%E -4.35%K -21.09%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -7.55%E -2.04%K -2.80%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-29 23:59
BetUS🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -6.23%E -4.99%K -24.93%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -7.55%E -2.04%K -2.80%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-30 00:00
BetMGM🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.23%E -2.51%K -11.15%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -10.05%E -2.79%K -3.87%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-29 23:59
Betway🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -6.23%E -4.99%K -24.93%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -12.55%E -3.59%K -5.02%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-29 23:59
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig1.28I 78.13%NM 75.05%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.95%4.1%2026-05-29 23:59