Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Oregon Ducks v Washington Huskies

Kickoff: 2026-05-23 02:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

18 sportsbooks (9 in analysis )

73%

27%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Oregon Ducks (Local)

Prediction 73.34%1.36fair odd

EV -2.46%

Edge -1.85%

Kelly -7.45%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.33

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

71.21%73.86%73.07%78.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.211.271.291.3382.64%78.53%77.52%75.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Washington Huskies (Visit)

Prediction 26.66%3.75fair odd

EV +14.64%

Edge +3.40%

Kelly +4.44%

Growth +0.649%

assuming max odds 4.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

21.96%26.14%26.93%28.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

3.243.573.504.3030.86%27.98%28.57%23.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Oregon Ducks (Local): 73.34%; Washington Huskies (Visit): 26.66%. For Washington Huskies (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.75. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.30, corresponding to a positive expected value of +14.64%.

Sportsbook Odds (18 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local	Visit ▼	Margin	Updated
FanDuel🎯	1.21I 82.64%NM 78.04%EV -11.26%E -9.30%K -53.61%G +0.000%	4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV +14.64%E +3.40%K +4.44%G +0.649%	5.9%	2026-05-22 22:07
Hard Rock Bet🎯	1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -10.52%E -8.63%K -47.84%G +0.000%	4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV +6.64%E +1.66%K +2.21%G +0.147%	7.0%	2026-05-22 22:06
theScore Bet🎯	1.21I 82.64%NM 76.78%EV -11.26%E -9.30%K -53.61%G +0.000%	4.00I 25.00%NM 23.22%EV +6.64%E +1.66%K +2.21%G +0.147%	7.6%	2026-05-22 21:49
1xBet🎯	1.27I 78.74%NM 75.00%EV -6.86%E -5.40%K -25.40%G +0.000%	3.81I 26.25%NM 25.00%EV +1.57%E +0.413%K +0.560%G +0.009%	5.0%	2026-05-22 22:20
Betway🎯	1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -10.52%E -8.63%K -47.84%G +0.000%	3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -0.027%E -0.007%K -0.010%G +0.000%	8.6%	2026-05-22 21:49
BetRivers🎯	1.24I 80.65%NM 74.11%EV -9.06%E -7.30%K -37.74%G +0.000%	3.55I 28.17%NM 25.89%EV -5.36%E -1.51%K -2.10%G +0.000%	8.8%	2026-05-22 17:10
Bally Bet🎯	1.24I 80.65%NM 74.11%EV -9.06%E -7.30%K -37.74%G +0.000%	3.55I 28.17%NM 25.89%EV -5.36%E -1.51%K -2.10%G +0.000%	8.8%	2026-05-22 17:10
betPARX🎯	1.24I 80.65%NM 74.11%EV -9.06%E -7.30%K -37.74%G +0.000%	3.55I 28.17%NM 25.89%EV -5.36%E -1.51%K -2.10%G +0.000%	8.8%	2026-05-22 17:10
888sport🎯	1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.39%E -4.18%K -18.59%G +0.000%	3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -6.69%E -1.91%K -2.68%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-05-22 22:19
888sport (SE)🎯	1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.39%E -4.18%K -18.59%G +0.000%	3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -6.69%E -1.91%K -2.68%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-05-22 22:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯	1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.39%E -4.18%K -18.59%G +0.000%	3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -6.69%E -1.91%K -2.68%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-05-22 22:20
Caesars🎯	1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -2.46%E -1.85%K -7.45%G +0.000%	3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -9.36%E -2.75%K -3.90%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-05-22 11:20
BetMGM🎯	1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -3.92%E -3.00%K -12.66%G +0.000%	3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -9.36%E -2.75%K -3.90%G +0.000%	5.7%	2026-05-22 17:30
BetOnline.ag🎯	1.31I 76.34%NM 71.83%EV -3.92%E -3.00%K -12.66%G +0.000%	3.34I 29.94%NM 28.17%EV -10.96%E -3.28%K -4.68%G +0.000%	6.3%	2026-05-22 11:30
LowVig.ag🎯	1.31I 76.34%NM 71.83%EV -3.92%E -3.00%K -12.66%G +0.000%	3.34I 29.94%NM 28.17%EV -10.96%E -3.28%K -4.68%G +0.000%	6.3%	2026-05-22 11:30
DraftKings🎯	1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -3.19%E -2.42%K -9.97%G +0.000%	3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -12.02%E -3.64%K -5.23%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-05-22 06:40
Bovada🎯	1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -3.92%E -3.00%K -12.66%G +0.000%	3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -12.02%E -3.64%K -5.23%G +0.000%	6.6%	2026-05-22 13:19
BetUS🎯	1.31I 76.34%NM 71.21%EV -3.92%E -3.00%K -12.66%G +0.000%	3.24I 30.86%NM 28.79%EV -13.62%E -4.20%K -6.08%G +0.000%	7.2%	2026-05-22 13:10

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

Bookmaker	Local	Visit	Margin ▲	Updated
Novig◎	1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%	3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%	6.5%	2026-05-22 19:20