Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Oregon Ducks v Texas Longhorns

Kickoff: 2026-06-08 01:07 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

20 sportsbooks (10 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Oregon Ducks (Local)

Prediction 32.99%3.03fair odd
EV -2.34%
Edge -0.789%
Kelly -1.19%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.96

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.24%33.26%33.10%37.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.562.812.772.9639.06%35.54%36.04%33.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Texas Longhorns (Visit)

Prediction 67.01%1.49fair odd
EV +1.18%
Edge +0.780%
Kelly +2.31%
Growth +0.027%

assuming max odds 1.51

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
62.90%66.74%66.90%68.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.341.401.401.5174.63%71.25%71.43%66.23%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Oregon Ducks (Local): 32.99%; Texas Longhorns (Visit): 67.01%. For Texas Longhorns (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.49. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.51, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.18%.

Sportsbook Odds (20 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯2.56I 39.06%NM 37.10%EV -15.53%E -6.07%K -9.96%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.90%EV +1.18%E +0.780%K +2.31%G +0.027%5.3%2026-06-08 00:59
1xBet🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -13.22%E -5.03%K -8.11%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV +0.508%E +0.339%K +1.02%G +0.005%4.7%2026-06-08 00:55
BetOnline.ag🎯2.71I 36.90%NM 34.70%EV -10.58%E -3.91%K -6.19%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.30%EV -3.51%E -2.44%K -7.98%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-08 00:59
LowVig.ag🎯2.71I 36.90%NM 34.70%EV -10.58%E -3.91%K -6.19%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.30%EV -3.51%E -2.44%K -7.98%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-08 00:59
Caesars🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -2.67%E -0.904%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -4.85%E -3.42%K -11.55%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-08 00:57
theScore Bet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -7.61%E -2.72%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -4.85%E -3.42%K -11.55%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-08 00:59
BetUS🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -9.26%E -3.37%K -5.29%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -4.85%E -3.42%K -11.55%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-08 00:59
MyBookie.ag🎯2.91I 34.36%NM 32.48%EV -3.99%E -1.37%K -2.09%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.52%EV -6.19%E -4.42%K -15.48%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-08 00:58
DraftKings🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -4.32%E -1.49%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.19%E -4.42%K -15.48%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-08 00:59
888sport🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -9.26%E -3.37%K -5.29%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.19%E -4.42%K -15.48%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-08 00:59
Betway🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -9.26%E -3.37%K -5.29%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.19%E -4.42%K -15.48%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-08 00:59
888sport (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -9.26%E -3.37%K -5.29%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.19%E -4.42%K -15.48%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-08 00:59
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -9.26%E -3.37%K -5.29%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.19%E -4.42%K -15.48%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-08 00:59
FanDuel🎯2.96I 33.78%NM 31.80%EV -2.34%E -0.789%K -1.19%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.20%EV -7.53%E -5.46%K -19.82%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-08 00:59
Bovada🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -4.32%E -1.49%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -7.53%E -5.46%K -19.82%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-08 00:58
Fliff🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.82%EV -10.91%E -4.04%K -6.42%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 66.18%EV -7.53%E -5.46%K -19.82%G +0.000%9.5%2026-06-08 01:00
BetMGM🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.55%EV -2.67%E -0.904%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.45%EV -8.87%E -6.52%K -24.65%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-08 00:59
BetRivers🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.24%EV -2.67%E -0.904%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 68.76%EV -10.21%E -7.62%K -30.04%G +0.000%8.5%2026-06-08 00:59
betPARX🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.24%EV -2.67%E -0.904%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 68.76%EV -10.21%E -7.62%K -30.04%G +0.000%8.5%2026-06-08 00:59
Bally Bet🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.24%EV -2.67%E -0.904%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 68.76%EV -10.21%E -7.62%K -30.04%G +0.000%8.5%2026-06-08 00:59
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig2.86I 34.97%NM 34.55%1.51I 66.23%NM 65.45%1.2%2026-06-08 00:59