Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Oregon Ducks v Oregon St Beavers

Kickoff: 2026-04-15 01:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

11 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Oregon Ducks (Local)

Prediction 45.24%2.21fair odd
EV -0.476%
Edge -0.216%
Kelly -0.397%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.86%45.24%45.03%48.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.952.042.002.2051.28%49.09%50.00%45.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Oregon St Beavers (Visit)

Prediction 54.76%1.83fair odd
EV -1.43%
Edge -0.794%
Kelly -1.79%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
52.00%54.76%54.97%57.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.651.731.731.8060.61%57.93%57.80%55.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Oregon Ducks (Local): 45.24%; Oregon St Beavers (Visit): 54.76%. For Oregon Ducks (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.21. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.20, with an expected value of -0.476%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (11 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
DraftKings🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -0.476%E -0.216%K -0.397%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -9.64%E -5.84%K -14.84%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-14 17:45
FanDuel🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -4.10%E -1.93%K -3.66%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -6.90%E -4.06%K -9.86%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-14 17:54
theScore Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.00%E -2.38%K -4.55%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -6.36%E -3.72%K -8.95%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-14 17:55
Betway🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.19%EV -7.26%E -3.54%K -6.92%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 54.81%EV -7.45%E -4.41%K -10.80%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-14 17:50
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.89%EV -7.26%E -3.54%K -6.92%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.11%EV -8.55%E -5.12%K -12.76%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-14 17:55
888sport🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -9.52%E -4.76%K -9.52%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -5.26%E -3.04%K -7.21%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-14 17:49
888sport (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -9.52%E -4.76%K -9.52%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -5.26%E -3.04%K -7.21%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-14 17:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -9.52%E -4.76%K -9.52%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -5.26%E -3.04%K -7.21%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-14 17:50
BetMGM🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -10.43%E -5.27%K -10.64%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -1.43%E -0.794%K -1.79%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-14 04:14
1xBet🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 47.59%EV -11.33%E -5.78%K -11.81%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.41%EV -2.52%E -1.42%K -3.24%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-14 18:20
Bovada🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -11.79%E -6.04%K -12.41%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -1.43%E -0.794%K -1.79%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-14 17:53
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig1.00I 100.00%NM 58.33%1.40I 71.43%NM 41.67%71.4%2026-04-14 17:55