Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Oregon Ducks v Oregon St Beavers

Kickoff: 2026-03-03 23:05 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

17 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

63%

37%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Oregon Ducks (Local)

Prediction 62.92%1.59fair odd

EV -3.74%

Edge -2.44%

Kelly -7.05%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.53

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

61.52%63.38%62.84%65.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.441.481.501.5369.44%67.62%66.67%65.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Oregon St Beavers (Visit)

Prediction 37.08%2.70fair odd

EV +0.495%

Edge +0.183%

Kelly +0.289%

Growth +0.001%

assuming max odds 2.71

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

34.70%36.62%37.16%38.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

2.432.542.502.7141.15%39.34%40.00%36.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Oregon Ducks (Local): 62.92%; Oregon St Beavers (Visit): 37.08%. For Oregon St Beavers (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.70. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.71, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.495%.

Sportsbook Odds (17 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local	Visit ▼	Margin	Updated
LowVig.ag🎯	1.44I 69.44%NM 65.30%EV -9.40%E -6.53%K -21.36%G +0.000%	2.71I 36.90%NM 34.70%EV +0.495%E +0.183%K +0.289%G +0.001%	6.3%	2026-03-03 17:55
BetOnline.ag🎯	1.44I 69.44%NM 65.30%EV -9.40%E -6.53%K -21.36%G +0.000%	2.71I 36.90%NM 34.70%EV +0.495%E +0.183%K +0.289%G +0.001%	6.3%	2026-03-03 17:55
theScore Bet🎯	1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -8.77%E -6.05%K -19.49%G +0.000%	2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV +0.124%E +0.046%K +0.073%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-03-03 17:55
BetUS🎯	1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -8.77%E -6.05%K -19.49%G +0.000%	2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -3.58%E -1.38%K -2.24%G +0.000%	7.4%	2026-03-03 18:00
Hard Rock Bet🎯	1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.62%E -3.75%K -11.25%G +0.000%	2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.44%E -2.13%K -3.51%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-03-03 17:10
DraftKings🎯	1.50I 66.67%NM 62.87%EV -5.62%E -3.75%K -11.25%G +0.000%	2.54I 39.37%NM 37.13%EV -5.81%E -2.29%K -3.77%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-03-02 23:40
FanDuel🎯	1.51I 66.23%NM 62.53%EV -5.00%E -3.31%K -9.79%G +0.000%	2.52I 39.68%NM 37.47%EV -6.55%E -2.60%K -4.31%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-03-03 14:45
888sport🎯	1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.62%E -3.75%K -11.25%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.29%E -2.92%K -4.86%G +0.000%	6.7%	2026-03-03 00:05
888sport (SE)🎯	1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.62%E -3.75%K -11.25%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.29%E -2.92%K -4.86%G +0.000%	6.7%	2026-03-03 00:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯	1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.62%E -3.75%K -11.25%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.29%E -2.92%K -4.86%G +0.000%	6.7%	2026-03-03 00:05
BetMGM🎯	1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.62%E -3.75%K -11.25%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.29%E -2.92%K -4.86%G +0.000%	6.7%	2026-03-03 01:50
Betway🎯	1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -6.88%E -4.65%K -14.34%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -7.29%E -2.92%K -4.86%G +0.000%	7.6%	2026-03-03 13:10
BetRivers🎯	1.44I 69.44%NM 63.45%EV -9.40%E -6.53%K -21.36%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -7.29%E -2.92%K -4.86%G +0.000%	9.4%	2026-03-03 16:45
betPARX🎯	1.44I 69.44%NM 63.45%EV -9.40%E -6.53%K -21.36%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -7.29%E -2.92%K -4.86%G +0.000%	9.4%	2026-03-03 16:45
Bally Bet🎯	1.44I 69.44%NM 63.45%EV -9.40%E -6.53%K -21.36%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -7.29%E -2.92%K -4.86%G +0.000%	9.4%	2026-03-03 16:45
Bovada🎯	1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -3.74%E -2.44%K -7.05%G +0.000%	2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -9.15%E -3.73%K -6.31%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-03-03 00:00
1xBet🎯	1.52I 65.79%NM 61.52%EV -4.37%E -2.87%K -8.40%G +0.000%	2.43I 41.15%NM 38.48%EV -9.89%E -4.07%K -6.91%G +0.000%	6.9%	2026-03-03 16:20

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.