Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.17
assuming max odds 5.75
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Oregon Ducks (Local): 82.05%; Indiana Hoosiers (Visit): 17.95%. For Indiana Hoosiers (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.57. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.75, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.20%.
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 83.82%EV -8.92%E -8.04%K -81.11%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.18%EV +3.20%E +0.556%K +0.673%G +0.022% | 7.5% | 2026-03-14 21:05 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 83.82%EV -8.92%E -8.04%K -81.11%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.18%EV +3.20%E +0.556%K +0.673%G +0.022% | 7.5% | 2026-03-14 21:05 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.46%EV -7.28%E -6.44%K -56.01%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.54%EV +2.30%E +0.404%K +0.490%G +0.011% | 6.0% | 2026-03-14 21:05 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 83.46%EV -8.92%E -8.04%K -81.11%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.54%EV +0.507%E +0.090%K +0.110%G +0.001% | 7.9% | 2026-03-14 21:05 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -6.46%E -5.67%K -46.14%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -1.29%E -0.234%K -0.286%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-14 21:05 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -8.10%E -7.23%K -67.51%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -1.29%E -0.234%K -0.286%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-14 21:05 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -5.64%E -4.90%K -37.60%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -10.26%E -2.05%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-14 21:05 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 81.70%EV -8.10%E -7.23%K -67.51%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.30%EV -10.26%E -2.05%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-14 21:05 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 81.70%EV -8.10%E -7.23%K -67.51%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.30%EV -10.26%E -2.05%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-14 21:04 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.18%EV -5.64%E -4.90%K -37.60%G +0.000% | 4.96I 20.16%NM 18.82%EV -10.98%E -2.21%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-14 21:01 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.72%EV -4.00%E -3.42%K -23.52%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.28%EV -12.06%E -2.46%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-14 21:05 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.99%EV -5.64%E -4.90%K -37.60%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.01%EV -12.06%E -2.46%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-14 21:04 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.60%EV -4.00%E -3.42%K -23.52%G +0.000% | 4.86I 20.58%NM 19.40%EV -12.77%E -2.63%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-14 21:05 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.60%EV -4.00%E -3.42%K -23.52%G +0.000% | 4.86I 20.58%NM 19.40%EV -12.77%E -2.63%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-14 21:05 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 80.70%EV -4.82%E -4.15%K -30.12%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.30%EV -12.95%E -2.67%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-14 21:02 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.07%EV -4.00%E -3.42%K -23.52%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.93%EV -15.65%E -3.33%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-14 21:04 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig◎ | 1.15I 86.96%NM 83.01% | 5.62I 17.79%NM 16.99% | 4.8% | 2026-03-14 21:04 |