The School of College Oddsodds.college
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Oregon Ducks v Indiana Hoosiers

Kickoff: 2026-03-15 19:35 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

11 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Oregon Ducks (Local)

Prediction 74.67%1.34fair odd
EV -3.67%
Edge -2.85%
Kelly -12.66%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.29

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
73.68%74.71%74.57%76.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.231.251.251.2981.30%79.88%80.00%77.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Indiana Hoosiers (Visit)

Prediction 25.33%3.95fair odd
EV -1.23%
Edge -0.314%
Kelly -0.423%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.90

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.98%25.29%25.43%26.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.503.713.703.9028.57%26.93%27.03%25.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Oregon Ducks (Local): 74.67%; Indiana Hoosiers (Visit): 25.33%. For Indiana Hoosiers (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.95. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.90, with an expected value of -1.23%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (11 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Caesars🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -3.67%E -2.85%K -12.66%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -6.29%E -1.70%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-15 09:28
BetMGM🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -5.16%E -4.07%K -19.13%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -5.02%E -1.34%K -1.83%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-15 02:04
DraftKings🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -5.16%E -4.07%K -19.13%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -6.29%E -1.70%K -2.33%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-15 01:00
1xBet🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 74.02%EV -5.91%E -4.69%K -22.74%G +0.000%3.59I 27.86%NM 25.98%EV -9.08%E -2.53%K -3.50%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-15 15:20
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -6.66%E -5.33%K -26.63%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -8.82%E -2.45%K -3.39%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-15 13:45
Betway🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -6.66%E -5.33%K -26.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -11.36%E -3.24%K -4.54%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-15 09:50
FanDuel🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 75.88%EV -7.41%E -5.97%K -30.85%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.12%EV -1.23%E -0.314%K -0.423%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-15 14:45
MyBookie.ag🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 75.40%EV -7.41%E -5.97%K -30.85%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -3.76%E -0.989%K -1.34%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-15 16:18
theScore Bet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 75.40%EV -7.41%E -5.97%K -30.85%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -3.76%E -0.989%K -1.34%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-15 14:45
Bovada🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 76.02%EV -8.15%E -6.63%K -35.44%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.98%EV -1.23%E -0.314%K -0.423%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-15 15:13
Fliff🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 74.53%EV -8.15%E -6.63%K -35.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.47%EV -8.82%E -2.45%K -3.39%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-15 18:25
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig◎1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%5.3%2026-03-15 19:15