Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Ole Miss Rebels v Troy Trojans

Kickoff: 2026-06-14 18:10 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

15 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Ole Miss Rebels (Local)

Prediction 67.69%1.48fair odd
EV +1.54%
Edge +1.03%
Kelly +3.08%
Growth +0.047%

assuming max odds 1.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
63.41%67.36%67.60%68.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.351.391.381.5074.07%72.08%72.46%66.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Troy Trojans (Visit)

Prediction 32.31%3.10fair odd
EV -2.43%
Edge -0.806%
Kelly -1.20%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.02

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.03%32.64%32.40%36.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.602.922.953.0238.46%34.20%33.90%33.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Ole Miss Rebels (Local): 67.69%; Troy Trojans (Visit): 32.31%. For Ole Miss Rebels (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.48. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.54%.

Sportsbook Odds (15 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
theScore Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV +1.54%E +1.03%K +3.08%G +0.047%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -16.00%E -6.15%K -10.00%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-14 15:40
Caesars🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -3.88%E -2.73%K -9.23%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -4.69%E -1.59%K -2.41%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-14 17:59
Pinnacle🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.21%EV -4.55%E -3.23%K -11.10%G +0.000%2.89I 34.60%NM 32.79%EV -6.63%E -2.30%K -3.51%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-14 17:10
1xBet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.33%EV -5.23%E -3.74%K -13.07%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 31.67%EV -2.43%E -0.806%K -1.20%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-14 17:20
MyBookie.ag🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.23%E -3.74%K -13.07%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.31%E -2.18%K -3.32%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-14 17:10
BetMGM🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.23%E -3.74%K -13.07%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.31%E -2.18%K -3.32%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-14 17:30
FanDuel🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -6.58%E -4.77%K -17.32%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -3.08%E -1.03%K -1.54%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-14 17:10
DraftKings🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -6.58%E -4.77%K -17.32%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -4.69%E -1.59%K -2.41%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-14 16:50
Fliff🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.38%EV -6.58%E -4.77%K -17.32%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%EV -7.93%E -2.78%K -4.28%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-14 17:31
BetUS🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 68.29%EV -7.26%E -5.30%K -19.62%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.71%EV -4.69%E -1.59%K -2.41%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-14 18:00
Bovada🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.94%E -5.84%K -22.05%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -3.08%E -1.03%K -1.54%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-14 16:50
Betway🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.70%EV -7.94%E -5.84%K -22.05%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.30%EV -7.93%E -2.78%K -4.28%G +0.000%8.6%2026-06-14 17:09
BetRivers🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -8.61%E -6.38%K -24.61%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -3.08%E -1.03%K -1.54%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-14 16:00
betPARX🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -8.61%E -6.38%K -24.61%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -3.08%E -1.03%K -1.54%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-14 16:00
Bally Bet🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -8.61%E -6.38%K -24.61%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -3.08%E -1.03%K -1.54%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-14 16:00
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (2)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi3.45I 28.99%NM 28.42%1.37I 72.99%NM 71.58%2.0%2026-06-14 18:00
Novig1.38I 72.46%NM 70.70%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.30%2.5%2026-06-14 18:00