Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Ole Miss Rebels v Ohio State Buckeyes

Kickoff: 2026-02-28 17:05 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

16 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

85%

15%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Ole Miss Rebels (Local)

Prediction 85.07%1.18fair odd

EV -4.72%

Edge -4.22%

Kelly -39.35%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.12

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

82.94%85.01%84.88%87.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.071.101.101.1293.46%91.12%90.91%89.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Ohio State Buckeyes (Visit)

Prediction 14.93%6.70fair odd

EV +15.71%

Edge +2.03%

Kelly +2.33%

Growth +0.366%

assuming max odds 7.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

12.13%14.99%15.12%17.06%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

5.306.346.237.7518.87%15.78%16.05%12.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Ole Miss Rebels (Local): 85.07%; Ohio State Buckeyes (Visit): 14.93%. For Ohio State Buckeyes (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 6.70. 5 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 7.75, corresponding to a positive expected value of +15.71%.

Sportsbook Odds (16 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local	Visit ▼	Margin	Updated
Bovada🎯	1.07I 93.46%NM 87.87%EV -8.98%E -8.39%K -128.22%G +0.000%	7.75I 12.90%NM 12.13%EV +15.71%E +2.03%K +2.33%G +0.366%	6.4%	2026-02-28 15:13
DraftKings🎯	1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -6.42%E -5.84%K -64.23%G +0.000%	7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +4.51%E +0.645%K +0.752%G +0.034%	5.2%	2026-02-28 15:05
888sport🎯	1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -8.12%E -7.52%K -101.56%G +0.000%	7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV +4.51%E +0.645%K +0.752%G +0.034%	6.9%	2026-02-28 16:45
888sport (SE)🎯	1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -8.12%E -7.52%K -101.56%G +0.000%	7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV +4.51%E +0.645%K +0.752%G +0.034%	6.9%	2026-02-28 16:45
Mr Green (SE)🎯	1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -8.12%E -7.52%K -101.56%G +0.000%	7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV +4.51%E +0.645%K +0.752%G +0.034%	6.9%	2026-02-28 16:45
BetMGM🎯	1.11I 90.09%NM 84.92%EV -5.57%E -5.02%K -50.66%G +0.000%	6.25I 16.00%NM 15.08%EV -6.69%E -1.07%K -1.27%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-02-28 02:29
Hard Rock Bet🎯	1.11I 90.09%NM 84.92%EV -5.57%E -5.02%K -50.66%G +0.000%	6.25I 16.00%NM 15.08%EV -6.69%E -1.07%K -1.27%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-02-28 15:05
BetOnline.ag🎯	1.11I 90.09%NM 84.88%EV -5.57%E -5.02%K -50.66%G +0.000%	6.23I 16.05%NM 15.12%EV -6.98%E -1.12%K -1.34%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-02-28 16:15
LowVig.ag🎯	1.11I 90.09%NM 84.88%EV -5.57%E -5.02%K -50.66%G +0.000%	6.23I 16.05%NM 15.12%EV -6.98%E -1.12%K -1.34%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-02-28 16:15
BetRivers🎯	1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -6.42%E -5.84%K -64.23%G +0.000%	6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -10.42%E -1.74%K -2.08%G +0.000%	7.6%	2026-02-28 16:15
Bally Bet🎯	1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -6.42%E -5.84%K -64.23%G +0.000%	6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -10.42%E -1.74%K -2.08%G +0.000%	7.6%	2026-02-28 16:15
betPARX🎯	1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -6.42%E -5.84%K -64.23%G +0.000%	6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -10.42%E -1.74%K -2.08%G +0.000%	7.6%	2026-02-28 16:15
Betway🎯	1.09I 91.74%NM 84.63%EV -7.27%E -6.67%K -80.82%G +0.000%	6.00I 16.67%NM 15.37%EV -10.42%E -1.74%K -2.08%G +0.000%	8.4%	2026-02-28 15:05
BetUS🎯	1.11I 90.09%NM 84.17%EV -5.57%E -5.02%K -50.66%G +0.000%	5.90I 16.95%NM 15.83%EV -11.91%E -2.02%K -2.43%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-02-28 16:15
theScore Bet🎯	1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -4.72%E -4.22%K -39.35%G +0.000%	5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -17.88%E -3.25%K -3.97%G +0.000%	7.5%	2026-02-28 16:55
1xBet🎯	1.09I 91.74%NM 82.94%EV -7.27%E -6.67%K -80.82%G +0.000%	5.30I 18.87%NM 17.06%EV -20.87%E -3.94%K -4.85%G +0.000%	10.6%	2026-02-28 16:00

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.