Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Ole Miss Rebels v Missouri Tigers

Kickoff: 2026-05-19 14:35 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

15 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Ole Miss Rebels (Local)

Prediction 72.29%1.38fair odd
EV -3.85%
Edge -2.89%
Kelly -11.66%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.33

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
70.64%72.21%72.34%73.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.291.311.301.3377.52%76.53%76.92%75.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Missouri Tigers (Visit)

Prediction 27.71%3.61fair odd
EV -1.65%
Edge -0.463%
Kelly -0.645%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.55

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.65%27.79%27.66%29.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.203.333.353.5531.25%30.04%29.85%28.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Ole Miss Rebels (Local): 72.29%; Missouri Tigers (Visit): 27.71%. For Missouri Tigers (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.61. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.55, with an expected value of -1.65%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (15 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.76%EV -3.85%E -2.89%K -11.66%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 28.24%EV -6.36%E -1.88%K -2.67%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-19 10:00
888sport🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -3.85%E -2.89%K -11.66%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -11.34%E -3.54%K -5.16%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-19 05:50
888sport (SE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -3.85%E -2.89%K -11.66%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -11.34%E -3.54%K -5.16%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-19 05:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -3.85%E -2.89%K -11.66%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -11.34%E -3.54%K -5.16%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-19 05:50
Caesars🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -5.29%E -4.04%K -17.08%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -3.03%E -0.866%K -1.21%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-19 14:29
BetMGM🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -5.29%E -4.04%K -17.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -5.80%E -1.71%K -2.42%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-19 14:30
DraftKings🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -6.02%E -4.63%K -20.06%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -5.80%E -1.71%K -2.42%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-19 14:19
Bovada🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -6.02%E -4.63%K -20.06%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -7.19%E -2.15%K -3.06%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-19 14:18
BetRivers🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -6.02%E -4.63%K -20.06%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -11.34%E -3.54%K -5.16%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-19 13:10
Bally Bet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -6.02%E -4.63%K -20.06%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -11.34%E -3.54%K -5.16%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-19 13:10
betPARX🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -6.02%E -4.63%K -20.06%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -11.34%E -3.54%K -5.16%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-19 13:10
FanDuel🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -6.74%E -5.22%K -23.24%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -1.65%E -0.463%K -0.645%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-19 14:20
theScore Bet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -6.74%E -5.22%K -23.24%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -3.03%E -0.866%K -1.21%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-19 14:29
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -6.74%E -5.22%K -23.24%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -5.80%E -1.71%K -2.42%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-19 14:19
MyBookie.ag🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 71.65%EV -6.74%E -5.22%K -23.24%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 28.35%EV -9.68%E -2.97%K -4.28%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-19 14:29
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig1.00I 100.00%NM 76.91%3.33I 30.03%NM 23.09%30.0%2026-05-19 14:00