Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Ole Miss Rebels v Missouri St Bears

Kickoff: 2026-02-22 19:30 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

15 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Ole Miss Rebels (Local)

Prediction 73.55%1.36fair odd
EV -4.39%
Edge -3.38%
Kelly -14.63%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
71.43%73.51%74.19%75.40%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.241.281.291.3080.65%78.17%77.52%76.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Missouri St Bears (Visit)

Prediction 26.45%3.78fair odd
EV +0.521%
Edge +0.137%
Kelly +0.186%
Growth +0.001%

assuming max odds 3.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.60%26.49%25.81%28.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.243.483.503.8030.86%28.72%28.57%26.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Ole Miss Rebels (Local): 73.55%; Missouri St Bears (Visit): 26.45%. For Missouri St Bears (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.78. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.80, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.521%.

Sportsbook Odds (15 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
theScore Bet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 75.40%EV -8.80%E -7.10%K -36.67%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV +0.521%E +0.137%K +0.186%G +0.001%7.0%2026-02-22 16:15
Bovada🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 75.15%EV -8.80%E -7.10%K -36.67%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.85%EV -0.801%E -0.214%K -0.291%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-22 14:35
DraftKings🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -6.60%E -5.19%K -24.43%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -2.12%E -0.574%K -0.787%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-22 00:10
BetMGM🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -6.60%E -5.19%K -24.43%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -2.12%E -0.574%K -0.787%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-22 01:30
FanDuel🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -6.60%E -5.19%K -24.43%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -3.45%E -0.944%K -1.30%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-22 19:20
888sport🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.12%E -3.97%K -17.67%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -7.41%E -2.12%K -2.97%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-22 16:19
888sport (SE)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.12%E -3.97%K -17.67%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -7.41%E -2.12%K -2.97%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-22 16:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.12%E -3.97%K -17.67%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -7.41%E -2.12%K -2.97%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-22 16:19
BetUS🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.11%EV -5.86%E -4.58%K -20.93%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 26.89%EV -7.94%E -2.28%K -3.20%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-22 13:54
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -5.12%E -3.97%K -17.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -10.06%E -2.96%K -4.19%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-22 16:15
BetRivers🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -4.39%E -3.38%K -14.63%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -14.03%E -4.32%K -6.23%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-22 16:40
Bally Bet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -4.39%E -3.38%K -14.63%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -14.03%E -4.32%K -6.23%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-22 16:40
betPARX🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -4.39%E -3.38%K -14.63%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -14.03%E -4.32%K -6.23%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-22 16:40
Betway🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -5.12%E -3.97%K -17.67%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -14.03%E -4.32%K -6.23%G +0.000%8.3%2026-02-22 16:14
1xBet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 71.84%EV -6.60%E -5.19%K -24.43%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 28.16%EV -14.29%E -4.41%K -6.38%G +0.000%9.6%2026-02-22 16:20
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.